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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: allen menglin chen who wrote (28515)8/28/2000 8:49:52 AM
From: donald sew  Respond to of 42787
 
Allen,

>>>>> DOW 25,000 by 2005, 50,000 by 2010 :)
Message 14273558 by AXXEL <<<<<

As I have mentioned several times, strong predictions/futher out prediction have at best a 62% probabilty of coming true - thats at best.

What they are doing is making a prediction based on a closed set and limiting the variables. What happens if there is a war, or major sabatoge on the internet, or a major natural disaster.

Talking about the internet, what is interesting is that with the internet it has now given the enemy's of the U.S. an avenue to attack the U.S. in a way that was not available before. The U.S. is very fortunate in that has natural protection with the 2 oceans, but with the internet the security of the U.S. could weaken.

I mention such in term of increased variables which are unknown which makes strong-long term prediction more difficult.

My strong position is that the LONGER-TERM prediction are subject to more variables which reduces the probability in the prediction.



To: allen menglin chen who wrote (28515)8/28/2000 8:53:53 AM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
With Enough Inflation - Why Not?

Oil $90 Bl. by 2005 - Why not?