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Non-Tech : General Electric (GE) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Captain Jack who wrote (1390)8/28/2000 7:48:27 PM
From: CIMA  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 3256
 
I lurk here as a GE shareholder, enjoy the discussion. Got this in my E-mail, thought it was worth a laugh. Sent by someone by the name of James Smith:

GE added about $100 BILLION in mkt cap in 1 month, so that its
now worth a mere $600 Billion. Hey, but what's a $100 billion
between friends. Those who park their capital in big name DOW
stocks, thinking they are safe, may be in for a rude awakening.
It may be true that tech/internet stocks are more overvalued
than DOW stocks, but what exactly did GE do to raise its value
by $100B in the space of a month??? I don't buy it and I don't
believe you should either. At the current rate of growth in GE
mkt cap, its on course to be a $1 Trillion company by year-end!
What's wrong with this picture? At $1 Trillion its no longer a
company, but a good sized country. Large funds feel safe
with big names that offer the liquidity to get in and out of a
stock. I suspect they are going to need that liquidity soon!

If you don't like me picking on GE, then substitute any of a range
of large name companies and do the math.

I had a slightly different read on the Emulex hoax than most of
the talking heads on CNBC and CNN. I see it as a warmup
for the real thing. During a panic, you often have to make
split-second decisions on whether to hold your stocks or join
the stampede in selling. What the Emulex hoax has in
common with a stock market panic is a critical lack of information
in a market that doesn't allow you time to process your
decisions normally.

Most people have the idea that stocks sell off on bad news,
which is quite true most of the time. But what is worse than
bad news is "no news." Once you get enough stocks heading
south, you won't need any bad news to turn a normal selloff into
a Panic Slide. Once its gets that bad, most analysts will throw
their hands up and declare, "I don't understand what's going on!"

This puts the "Next Level Communications" and "Emulex" selloffs
into perspective. One was not a hoax, the other was. But they
both show just how vulnerable stocks are to bad news.

"THE STOCK MARKET IS EXPRESSING WEAKNESS
IN ITS UNFORGIVING ATTITUTDE TO BAD NEWS!!!"

It is telling you what is yet to come....if you are listening.

With an onslaught of IPOs ready and waiting in the wings to launch
an inordinate supply onto the market and with insiders eager to dump
huge amouts of stock (coming out of Lockup) onto the market,
you have to ask yourself...."Do you feel lucky?"
Go ahead, I dare you...buy some stocks before our
Mid-September Turning Point. See if you have time to get out in
an orderly fashion with your shirt still on. What we have said is
that no later than Mid-September, stocks will begin to slide. That
is not the same thing as saying you can buy stocks right up to the
Mid-September. Stocks can begin to slide at most any moment.
Our daily reports give you a complete list of Panic Cycle days and
weeks. You might find this sort of information useful over the next
few weeks. The time to know all our key support and resistance levels,
the time to know our Turning Points and Panic Cycles, the time to know
our Volatility Days and Directional Change days.......is BEFORE the
market slides....not AFTER.

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WHEN THE FIT FINALLY HITS THE SHAN!

Of course the Talking Heads on CNBC (read: brokers disguised
as analysts) ) will come onto the boob tube and utter reassurance
that stocks that they so recently labelled a good buy, are now
an even better buy!

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