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To: The Vet who wrote (57688)8/29/2000 10:13:25 PM
From: d:oug  Respond to of 116763
 
The Vet,

Your post mades we wonder what a list would look like
if it contained all countries in debt to other countries.

Not sure, but i think that England may not yet have
fully payed back to the USA money it owes when England
brough on credit stuff from the USA during World War II.

Lots of talk about debt relief for poor countries,
especially those with corrupt governments that have
raped any wealth produced by their citizens, and steal
any humanitiarian aid given to feed their sick and poor
so that they can fatten up secret bank accounts either
for when they transfer power to others in the fold,
or by chance another outside corrupt group forces them
to flew the country.

<<The US lives well on the worlds credit.
What will happen on the day that those debts come due.
If they insist on proper payment do you nuke em?>>

Since the USA has the military might and power
all it has to do is either have the IMF pay off
those owed money with the massive amounts of already
stolden usa citizens cash through taxation, or the
USA could ask for debt relief and cancel void null
them with a "Don't like that? Whata you gonna do about it?"

Guess the simple answer is in tune with that expression,

"If the USA has a cold, the rest of Earth gets sick."

And to go the next level, if the USA is crushed under
a mountain of debt and worthless funny money in hyper inflation
caused by too many paper dollars and that massive credit load
that can not be payed into, just as physical gold can not be transfered
into those paper golds sheets, then if so one might wonder where
planet Earth is as all one can see is a very sick USA and everything
else looks like something needed euthanasia to put it out of its misery.

Reminds me of an article i read at the LeMetropoleCafe
where someone described The Perfect Scam as i think it was
in reference to that recently bankrupted precious metals
refinery that did too much bad trading in paper precious
metals and when the holders of the papers wanted the physical,
ooops no can do, ain't there, will this paper gold being newly
painted a golden color help?

What made it a good scam is that the company simply went into
that chapter 11 bankruptcy place and obtained protection from
all those folks con'ed outta their physical. Something like
a person robbing a Bank of a million dollars and going to
Lost Vegas and gambles it and loses all of it and when the
police + FBI capture him he declares chapter 11 and protects
himself from a crime and jail.

So, if USA crashes and IOU's and Fraud and Etc. appear at the door,
oops bankruptcy chapter 11/7 for USA... sorryyyyyyyyyy no money
to pay off those IOUs, and yes we keep the House.

doug



To: The Vet who wrote (57688)8/29/2000 10:39:10 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116763
 
The US lives well on the worlds credit. What will happen on the day that those debts come due.

Wait a minute here... Which nation on this planet is currently running a governmental budget surplus as a result of the favorable economic conditions? Conditions that create more value for each investor dollar than do other economies?

We know it isn't Japan, where interest rates are at .25% and their national debt is approaching 130% of their GDP (with an increasingly aged population who will be stuck paying the tab down the road).

And it isn't Europe where governmental regulations, subsidies, and the extremely high taxes needed to fund their generous entitlement programs are causing capital to flee and putting them in quandary comparable to that which Japan faces. The ECB is set to raise rates this Thursday and the question will be whether they raise them high enough to support their currency (equivalent to an intervention), or let the Euro float lower to new lows in order to prevent an interest rate induced recession.

Like many folks, I'm closing watching what occurs this week with the dollar and the US markets. We are currently setting up for a big move and I suspect that it will be ignited by a currency related event. Either the Dollar makes a new high and continues an uptrend (ensuring the Euro is shorted in a "carry trade"), or it fails and we have another correction in the markets that won't get resolved until tax loss season is over this November-December.

Now the ECB could raise rates excessively high in order to support their currency, but as a result they will be creating the conditions where EEC nations may become so divided that it may tear itself asunder and destroy the concept of a unified currency. Remember that the Euro is the currency of the European Confederation, not the currecy of a unified Federation. Confederations exist only as a result of mutual consent and the EEC is too new for them to be taking such risky actions.

Just my opinion. But do I think that the Dollar will reign forever?? Not particularly.. But right now the last thing Japan and Europe want is for the Dollar to decline and limit the favorable export conditions they currently enjoy. Conditions that are crucial to sustaining economic growth.

Very complex situation they are facing and there are a whole lot of variables that must be factored in for analysts to truely assess what they will do. And in the end it will all come down to the decisions of a few powerful central bankers who are guiding monetary and economic policy.

Also, note that only NOW is Europe undertaking the necessary reduction in tax rates that the US implemented back under Reagan. It will require many years until the effect of those tax cuts will be felt on their economic growth.

Regards,

Ron