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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sandeep who wrote (28905)	9/1/2000 11:49:22 AM
From: Paul Shread	Respond to of 42787

A slowing economy and corporate profits could easily do the trick. Investors didn't like all the investment gains used to make numbers in July; don't see why October won't be worse. The less the market rises, the fewer profits companies will have to take, and bottom lines will start to deteriorate. I think the real threat is a recession next year: 2-year/10-year is at its most inverted since 1980. One more month of a short-term/10-year inversion (a virtual certainty at this point) and we have an 86% chance of a recession. And don't forget oil.

To: sandeep who wrote (28905)	9/1/2000 12:15:33 PM
From: donald sew	Respond to of 42787

Sandeep, >>>> I don't see why you keep on trying to be a pessimist <<<< Thats strange, since I never considered myself a pessimist towards the market. I have a mechanical system, with the discipline to follow it. Its basicly based on probability. When it basicly hits a certain number rings some sort of a signal. Pessimism is an emotion, and I have received many posts expressing how unemotional my approach its. So its not a question of the emotion of being pessimistic but it becomes a question whether my analysis is right or wrong or somewhere in between. Again, I dont see it as an issue of emotion. How many times have you seen me way my hands, maybe 3-5 times a year, and how many times have you seen me express depression over a bad trade or exuberance over a good trade. Now I will tell you when I get emotional, and that is when opinions are given with out backup to the extent that it could be interpreted as spamming. My position is that the overall market is in a big trading range. I never mentioned a crash, only the possibility of strong declines within the trading range. How is that being pessimistic, unless anything less than being bullish is being pessimistic. If that your standard to judge pessimistic, well you have the right to your opinion. Seeya