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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Archie Meeties who wrote (58615)9/1/2000 2:15:21 PM
From: Bull RidaH  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Archi... Agree with you on all points... and this market IS in big trouble, with dramatic declines soon to come... Which is why we MUST rally big first. <G>

People locked in the Long Term Buy and Hold mentality are ALREADY hopeless bagholders, which i base on both fundamental and technical studies. But we do get that rally first, which of course... They won't sell into. <g>

P.S. "Easy Al" is anything but, and has far exceeded prudent management and what was necessary in raising rates to these levels. He's a crisis manager who waffles far too easily in the face of s-t anamolies, and lacks patience. He has ALREADY killed the l-t bull market.



To: Archie Meeties who wrote (58615)9/1/2000 4:00:04 PM
From: Follies  Respond to of 99985
 

As for the best hedge against inflation... Over long periods stocks outperform, but during the brief periods when inflation exceeds growth, stocks are horrible performers and hard assets excel.


Long has to be VERY long , in fact it may not be valid at all.

The DJ30 adjusted for inflation is UNCHANGED from 1915 to 1925, 1930, 1935, 1937, 1940, 1945, 1952, and 1981.

1981 - 1915 = 66 years with no change relative to inflation.

This does not however take in to account dividends. Does anyone know where I can get yearly dividend records of the Dow?