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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert Graham who wrote (10092)9/3/2000 6:34:49 PM
From: Tai Jin  Respond to of 18137
 
Where are you coming up with this? When is the probability that close to zero where a given a trade will end up as a profit?

It has nothing to do with predictions from reading a chart, only probabilities of success based on everything I knew about the stock and company. Based on my experience with the stock, I knew that what was happening was heavy institutional accumulation (in fact, the institutions were having trouble buying in because of a lack of liquidity). I knew that I could buy the dips and be "safe." This style of trading is based on having "complete" knowledge of the stock I'm trading. In this case, all the factors were in my favor: trading action, big money accumulation, fundamentals, small float. I would have been very surprised if the stock had not behaved the way I expected it to, and I was willing to take what I perceived to be a small risk for a potentially large reward.

...tai



To: Robert Graham who wrote (10092)9/3/2000 11:36:01 PM
From: dpl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
The only thing that separates trading(speculating) from pure gambling is that in trading you place a "bet" when the odds are over 50%.
All traders are odds makers even if they cannot put a specific probability on the trade they are doing.

David