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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: cody andre who wrote (17025)9/7/2000 9:27:00 AM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
stratfor.com

Tudjman's legacy while he rots in hell...

The Balkan Crime Problem
0233 GMT, 000907

Croatian officials are under pressure from voters and EU
countries to eliminate criminal syndicates in and around
Croatia. A resulting new, anti-crime initiative by the
government in Zagreb may have some impact in Croatia
itself but will likely be damaging in western Bosnia.

After weeks of talk by Prime Minister Ivica Racan, his
government has proposed a so-called Special Squad. The
unit, a financial crimes task force, would combine
intelligence services and federal police and is modeled on the Clean Hands
operation in Italy that attacked mafia networks and targeted high-ranking
politicians.

Under the leadership of Franjo Tudjman, members of the Croatian Democratic
Union (HDZ) established strong networks to support a Croatian economic elite,
whose wealth was acquired through buying and then bankrupting privatized
companies. Anywhere between $2 billion and $9 billion was stolen in the past 10
years, and much of it went abroad. Global Options, LLC, reports that money
laundering in the country is the most severe example in the world.

Croatia’s campaign against political and economic crimes at home and on its
borders will target old political enemies. Many of Tudjman’s cronies live in
western Bosnia now and wield control over criminal syndicates there. As Croatia
takes a tough-line on crime, financial police will confront not just thieves, but
political enemies of the past.

A wave of assassination threats, as well as an alleged killing, appears to have set
the Mesic government into motion. Last week, unknown terrorists executed a
Croat man, Milan Levar, who testified against other Croats at the International
Criminal Tribunal for Yugoslavia (ICTY). Mesic asserted over the weekend that he
received a threat. A group called the Croatian Revolutionary Fraternity (HRB) sent
a fax to Mesic declaring that he would be bombed. Croatian authorities believe
HRB, established in Sydney, Australia, 1961, to be disbanded, and that the
name is used by a copycat group.

The European Union is pressuring the government to clean up the country’s
money laundering and corruption problems. Croatia is part of the 1999
Stabilization and Association (SA) project of EU states to promote regional
cooperation. Under the program, Croatia is eligible for more monetary aid. Racan
has demonstrated support for the SA by barring financial support to the HDZBiH
from Croatia.

Racan’s next step will be cracking down on political and criminal networks
running between Croatia and Bosnia. Extremists loyal to the old party of Tudjman
have their strongest clientele networks in western Bosnia. From there, they
control smuggling networks, heroin trafficking, and prostitution with inroads into
Croatia. They have influence over border police, veterans groups and the army.

Racan’s two-tiered crackdown on political and economic crimes in Croatia and
Bosnia will spark a dangerous confrontation between radicals and police forces.
Criminals in support of HDZBiH will operate outside the law to protect their
syndicates. Right now, western Bosnia is a haven for criminals – who are in
some cases protected by Bosnian Croat authorities and have no fear of
international police.

But an anti-corruption campaign extending into Bosnia will expose the
connections between criminals, hardliners and militants – and even politicians in
Bosnia – who support the idea of a separate state for Bosnian Croats. A
backlash is likely as the targets of the campaign will turn to political executions
and stoke nationalism.