SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IceShark who wrote (160542)9/9/2000 2:21:55 AM
From: Meathead  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176388
 
Re: I think our big difference on this issue is if
it was more straight forward the high prices wouldn't stand...

I don't think we actually differ much here. If you
suddenly move the cost out of the bucket that
nobody pays attention to or pegs valuation against
and into the bucket that everyone does, there would probably be a gut wrenching upheaval.

But, would it really affect current valuations
or would we rationalize and re-define the
loose metrics that are currently used to value
a stock?

My guess is probably. So maybe we do differ in
that I bet the investment community would ultimately
figure out how to make it a wash.

But the current valuations I've learned not to argue
with because It's all perception driven. If I were
to value stocks the way I value income producing
rental property in a market where real estate prices
are rising, I couldn't begin to come near the market
caps of companies like CSCO, AMZN, INTC, DELL etc...

For me, It would be like buying a duplex in Austin
that generates $1000/month in rents for over
$1 million. I don't care what neighborhood it's in,
that's not a good deal. $1 million in FDIC insured
CD's will generate 5 times that amount without the
headaches of dealing with tennants.

But, if I were convinced that the duplex could
possibly be worth 1.3M within in 1 year, it might
be a great deal regardless of the income it produces.
It's all relative.

Valuations are set by the market for that asset
whether they make sense or not. Even the risk free
rate of return seems to have little to no bearing on
the price of technology stocks.

How does one value growth? We currently don't value it
the way we did 5 years ago. Will it be more or less
5, 10, 15 years from now....???

MEATHEAD