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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lee kramer who wrote (113653)9/10/2000 12:06:17 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 120523
 
some good news....OPEC AGREES TO BOOST PRODUCT 3% TO 800,000 BARRELS
A DAY



To: lee kramer who wrote (113653)9/15/2000 12:51:08 AM
From: Susan G  Respond to of 120523
 
Interesting take on Thursday's market action...
I love the writer's sense of humor <g>

9/14/00 Investment House Daily

What was a great day in technology was tarnished by an analyst short the market

- Great economic news furthers a tech rally, but . . .
- . . . a Late day negative 'analyst' comments almost torpedoes the Nasdaq and does succeed in killing individual stock rallies.

Things were cruising today on the Nasdaq as good economic news opened the
index up out of the gates and allowed it to reach upwards of a 90-point
gain. Right after lunch it had given back about half the gains, but was
stepping back up making higher highs and higher lows. Looked as if the
index was going to climb up the ladder to the close.
*
Then CNBC interviewed Ralph Bloch of Raymond James. We thought something
was up when Mr. Bloch responded to the very first question about the
market's condition with a statement that he had moved to North Carolina
because it was cooler; apparently Mr. Bloch was trying to make it appear
that the very negative comments he was about to unload were just casual
observations. Man, we have seen more cheer and mirth at candlelight
vigils than what Mr. Bloch showed.
*
Basically, Mr. Bloch stated there was no hope for the markets. The Nasdaq
and Dow were divergent again, and that just would not do (ignoring that
the Nasdaq outran the Dow all last fall, winter and spring before trouble
hit). Moreover, everyone could see the double top on the Nasdaq (remember
what we said about one man's double top being another's ascending
wedge/triangle?). If the Nasdaq closed below 3700, best to sell
everything because there was no support and the Nasdaq was heading way
down.
*
Man. Hard to be happy after that. Never mind the obvious bias, the
markets tanked. Good runs for the day were trashed. The Nasdaq plunged
downward immediately, and almost went negative before salvaging some gains
in the last 10 minutes.
*
Two things to take from this. First, every time this market tries to
start crawling out of the bear, the shorts come out. July was rallying,
so the shorts attacked the strongest sector. After the market refused to
roll over and rose in August, the analysts again attacked the
semiconductors after Labor Day. The market would not die. When it
bounced off of support as expected on Wednesday, that brought the shorts
out again to try and talk the market down. Problem is, the commentators
took it as gospel on the financial talk shows, repeating it over and over.
That brings us to the second point. Investors listen too much to this
self-serving commentary. These commentators have their own motivations
for what they say, and they will look at the charts the way that fits
their motives. Mr. Bloch's statements were planned and calculated. Over
the past five months, the Nasdaq is making higher lows and rising on
stronger volume. That is positive. That shows that it is building
support below for a break over that resistance. May not make it this time
as we said earlier, but does that mean you just go to cash and walk around
crossing yourself? Of course not. From Mr. Bloch's perspective, however,
we might as well all sell out now and avoid the Christmas rush.
*
Now no one man is bigger than the market, but one sure did put a dent in
it today, doing his best to blunt this next leg up before it got on track.
We had some great news after hours as the leaders started reporting super,
super earnings. If that combined with the lack of inflation does not give
the markets some resolve, guess we will have to take up the 'end is near'
sign with Mr. Bloch. Oh boy.