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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stcgg who wrote (29424)9/11/2000 12:14:52 AM
From: Dan Duchardt  Respond to of 42787
 
Stcgg,

Seriously, the double top is ominous here

Yes, but... I'm not ready to call it a double top. The August 14,15 high provided support on Friday, with Dow closing only slightly below the 10dma. One bad day could take out those levels, but until that happens this looks like a normal 2 or 3 day retrace in a strong uptrend. And there was after all that long standing ominous diamond formation that recently broke to the upside.

I'm not all that bullish, actually. Oil prices are scary. The Nas looks a lot closer to a breakdown at the moment than the Dow, but even there one can find Fib retraces and prior highs for potential support. I'm not even close to fully invested and that's almost a sure sign there is more room to the upside. If the nearby support breaks this week, or if the next Dow attempt to clear those April highs fails, creating a more localized double top, then I'll get more bearish.

Dan



To: Stcgg who wrote (29424)9/11/2000 6:52:46 AM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
I read it. Sure. I'll believe it when I see it. EW analysis is like looking at a Jacson Pollock painting.



To: Stcgg who wrote (29424)9/11/2000 10:21:30 AM
From: James Strauss  Respond to of 42787
 
stcgg:

Great DowGuru analysis...

I have to believe that the current interest rate environment with possible cuts coming, will ward off any major break in the market... Now that OPEC is increasing production, it will help take the inflationary edge off... The next major investment area will be cheap alternative energy sources...

Jim