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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (36255)9/12/2000 3:36:29 PM
From: Neocon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769667
 
First, it doesn't matter even if you were factually correct (you are not). The margin of error has to always be factored in. It is the confidence interval. Say Gore gets a 47. When there is a margin of error of plus or minus 4, it means that they are 95% confident that the correct number is between 43 and 51. Bush gets 41. They are 95% confident that the correct number is between 37 and 45. They are not sure enough to certify the exact number, and they overlap. Thus, a statistical tie. That is how you read polls.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (36255)9/12/2000 3:41:19 PM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 769667
 
Second, Bush was, in fact, one point ahead in the CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll of September 8th. They have been in a precise tie in three other polls since the 6th. And the even apart from those polls, the Gore lead has fluctuated from 1 point to 9 in these various polls. All of this corroborates the idea that it is too close to tell.......

pollingreport.com


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