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To: adcpres who wrote (29974)	9/15/2000 4:55:20 PM
From: Paul Shread	Respond to of 42787

Thanks. Again, keep us posted.

To: adcpres who wrote (29974)	9/15/2000 9:14:57 PM
From: Square_Dealings	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42787

<<THE SIGN OF THE BEAR>> Thanks for the updates. Very interesting statistics. I also wonder if there is any indicator such as the musical chairs indicator when the heavy rotation starts flip flopping between the DOW and NAZ stocks. I seem to notice that when we start getting the back and forth -dow up naz down and vice versa for a number of days it indicates some short term top. The recent action in rotation from NAZ to DOW, followed by a period of alternating rotations (where both indicies are not able to advance together for some period of time) is similar to the market behavior in the early part of the year before the March drop. I bet there is some correlation with this pattern (musical chairs churning pattern) and ST market tops. M.

To: adcpres who wrote (29974)	9/17/2000 2:53:58 AM
From: Lig	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42787

RE: THE SIGN OF THE BEAR Been lurking for a while, really like the group here... FWIW, the NASDAQ completed a 28-day CHURN on Sept 7, followed by both two and three day averages below 0.75. I started collecting advance/decline data on May 16th of this year (from daily market summaries), and have no idea whether this kind of indicator has any statistical relevance for the NASDAQ. Seems like it might be interesting to back-test the NAS data and see what shows up. Can someone point out a reliable source of Advance-Decline data for the NASDAQ, or suggest a good service to purchase or subscribe to? Thanks - Art