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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SGJ who wrote (1700)9/15/2000 8:55:24 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
a Fed rate easing has been necessary for two months now
the bond yield curve has been inverted all summer long

the Fed governors are confused now, in my opinion
they have caused wreckage in Europe's economy
just because they are afraid of too much growth at home

I honestly dont believe these Fed governors are properly equipped to manage monetary policy in today's New Economy

today I heard that the biggest inflation hawk Fed governor made a public statement, saying he thought we finally have achieved balance in consumer supply and demand... this is important... now the bias is indeed toward easing within the group of governors

the US Federal Reserve does pay attention to foreign economies
but NOT enough in my opinion
I dont recall the last public statements made by Greenspan with focus on foreign conditions

a rate easing?
not for months
the European Central Banks are begging for it now
I dont think they will get it until after the US elections
until then, I think we have risks

not risk of lower earnings
risk of lower EXPECTED earnings
only risk is for Old Economy corporate earnings

multinationals can hedge currency shifts, but they CANNOT hedge for slowdown in foreign economies

/ Jim