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Gold/Mining/Energy : Oil & Gas Price Economics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alan Brezin who wrote (276)9/15/2000 10:54:21 PM
From: excardog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 350
 
Alan, Not sure I can agree with your non inflationary opinion regarding energy costs. Oil is used in so many different components of our society from transportation to textiles. Each company must make it's own choice as when to pass along it's increased costs to the consumer. At some point this will create inflation which will IMO cause the Fed to raise rates. Which in turn will cause a contraction in GDP.

Having lived through the two previous oil "shocks" and having been in the car industry during this time my experiences define the word recession. Cars flat stop selling. Automobile ownership and useage are a huge part of our economy. Thousands of jobs and well paying ones I might add are at stake. Who does not remember Chryslers near collapse?

Everyone seems to believe that the price of oil will not have an effect on our new "digital" economy. That is where I must agree to disagree. We have chosen to ignore our past and are therefore destined to repeat it. All our SUV's shall soon be waiting in gas lines bringing back old memories of days gone by. Been there done that.



To: Alan Brezin who wrote (276)9/23/2000 1:50:13 PM
From: rajaggs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 350
 
>> Net net higher energy costs are recessionary, imo. <<

Yes they are but hasn't Greenspan being trying to put the brakes on an overheated US economy using interest rates. Why not let higher energy costs to that for him and leave interest rates alone.

Managing the demand for money is not totally different from managing demand for oil and natural gas. In many ways one will accomplish what the other will, only in a different order.

'jaggs