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Technology Stocks : Stratos Lightwave, Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Secret_Agent_Man who wrote (365)9/25/2000 7:52:58 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 393
 
Stratos Lightwave (STLW, 35.28, NAS) develops, manufactures and sells
optical subsystems
and components, with a blue chip client list. You may have never heard of it
because it only had its
IPO 3 months ago, but Stratos is a leading supplier of components -
transceivers, connectors and
cable assemblies - for high data rate networking, data storage, and
telecommunications
applications for local area networks (LANs), storage area networks (SANs)
metropolitan area
networks (MANs) wide area networks (WANs) and central office networking
in the telecom markets.
STLW's growth in optical subsystems is driven by increasing demand in the
Gigabit
Ethernet, Fibre Channel, and Metro markets for their embedded and
pluggable
transceivers, in a variety of wavelengths and form factors. These are then
incorporated into the
optical networking products of companies such as Nortel (27% of sales),
Cisco (10%), Alcatel (6%),
Agilent, and Lucent. Stratos' subsystems consist of optical transceivers that
act as go-betweens,
translating and transmitting signals between optical and electronic
networks. Diversified
components maker Methode Electronics owns 85% of the company. The
company expects to be
completely spun off from Methode Electronics (METHA) in the early part of
2001, subject to receipt
of the IRS ruling.

Orders and shipments are growing for their optical components products,
resulting from the refocus
toward more complex, highly engineered OEM product programs, including
optical backplane
connectors and single mode cable assemblies. The company expects to
grow its top line at the
90-100% growth rate. For its first fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2000 - its
first as an independent
company - the company reported record sales for both its optical
subsystems and optical
components, as well as record profits. Sales increased by 78% to $25.9M
from $14.6M, and up
12% sequentially from Q4 ended April 30, 2000. Operating expenses
declined slightly to 25.7%,
with sales and marketing expenses declining as a percentage of sales.
Total backlog as of July
31 also increased 88% to $47M. Net Income reached a record $2M or 4c
per share, an increase of
38% from $1.5M or 3c per share for the same period last year, and up 86%
from $1.1M or 2c a
share for Q4 of fiscal 2000.

In the IPO, STLW sold 10M shares of common at $21 per share, resulting
in net proceeds to the
company of $195M. Uses of proceeds to date included general corporate
purposes, a payment of
$3.0M to Rockledge Microelectronics for part of the purchase price of the
Stratos Lightwave -
Florida subsidiary and repayment of $2.7M in advances from a Methode
subsidiary.

Demand is continuing across all product lines, including both optical
subsystems and optical
components, and STLW is ramping up its manufacturing capacity,
particularly at the Chicago
Optoelectronics and Fiber Optics groups facilities. STLW is on track to
increase the transceiver
capacity by 50% by the end of October and 100% total increase in unit
capacity by the end of
calendar 2000.

Stratos is being covered by six analysts: three strong buy and three buy
ratings. The consensus for
the analysts who follow the stock is only 20c a share for next year, but this
group is not yet trading
on its earnings. The IPO lockup expires on Dec.23, and the current float is
only 8.75M shares.
Something important to know, as you make your investment decision: the
current amount of
shares sold short is 5 million shares - that's 57% of the current float. There
is no
question that there are strong signs of a short squeeze about to happen.

The stock of STLW is trading in an area of strong support, after pulling
back from a failed third
attempt to break past 51. Over the 3 month trading history, there is now a
series of rising bottoms,
with the year's low of 26 being set in the first week of trading. Friday's
trading indicates a likely
reversal, which should lead to a successful run to 51 and past it. We like
this stock a lot for a longer
term investment.

This newsletter has received no compensation whatsoever from STLW.

alertinvestor.com