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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (4589)9/18/2000 6:18:12 PM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 19219
 
Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow" sentiment
survey. The survey was taken from 9/11 through 9/17 on the
Lowrisk.com web site.

Number of participants: 347

30 day outlook:

21% bullish, 32% previous week
60% bearish, 54% previous week
19% neutral, 14% previous week

(percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)

The median guess for the Dow closing value on Friday, 9/22: 10,986
(it was 11,200 last week). More complete sentiment data is available
at: <http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm>. Historical sentiment
data is available at: <http://lowrisk.com/sentiment-hist.htm>.

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The bearish sentiment reading climbed even higher last week, rising
6% to end at 60%. This is one of the highest bearish readings that
we have recorded since we started our sentiment survey in May, 1997.
Our only prior readings that have been higher were:

09/06/98, 65%
09/13/98, 65%
08/08/99, 61%
09/19/99, 64%

It is worth noting that not all of those prior dates marked a
bottom. For instance, the market had a very significant decline just
after that 9/19/99 reading. Nevertheless, these types of highly
bearish readings are a good signal that we should start to look for
at least a short term bottom.

The more participation we get in this survey, the better this
sentiment data is, so please stop by and tell us what you think the
market is going to do: lowrisk.com

best regards,
Jeff Walker



To: bobby beara who wrote (4589)9/19/2000 3:48:55 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
bobby, as you are aware, all last week I was 100% consumed with fundraising and I left all assets alone.

Yesterday I took the day off...

I see QCOM is rocking - my 70 prognostication proved a lowball mark - now QCOM 77 1/2... ; )

Rock on bro...

I can resume rydex numbers tonight...and hopefully back to normal posting again...

Best Regards, J.T.