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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: calgal who wrote (160827)9/19/2000 2:55:22 AM
From: Maverick  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176388
 
MSDW:DELL will rise in 2H00 to $60
Excerpts follow:
Fiscal year ends in January.
Company Description
Dell Computer manufactures and markets a wide range of
computer systems and products, including desktops and
software. Dell is the world’s leading direct computer
systems company and one of the top five computer vendors
in the world. The company is the leader in Internet PC
sales.
Valuation
We rate DELL Outperform. We believe investors should
own Dell for the second half 2000 story, and our belief that
this management team with this business model will find
exciting growth opportunities for a number of years to
come. Our price target of $60 is equal to 51 times our
calendar 2001 EPS estimate of $1.18. DELL is currently
trading at a 50% premium to the PC group (based on PE).
However, the stock has traditionally garnered a double
valuation. With evidence of solid PC sales and good
operational controls, we believe that the environment will
build for Dell shares to rise in the second half of the year as
investors see that the story holds. In our view, DELL is
suitable for investors with a tolerance for the price volatility
associated with technology stocks.
Key Investment Positives
· Dell’s core story is very much intact. We believe that
Dell’s sales model of direct PC sales, leveraged by the
Internet, is the model that many others in the PC business
are trying to emulate. We think that Dell has advantages —
rapid inventory turns, owning the customer relationship, a
leading brand, and a growing presence in international,
server, consumer, and workstation markets — that should
allow the company to continue to outgrow its competitors
and the industry.
· Dell is a leader in PC sales over the Internet. We think
DELL’s first-mover advantage in the Internet space is
important and should be considered as investors think
about appropriate prices for DELL shares. According to
DELL, phase one of its Internet deployment, with the basic
objective of gaining critical mass, is almost complete. Phase
one has involved creating online services, establishing an
Internet commerce engine, and moving supply chain
management links to the Internet. Phase two will be about
growing DELL’s role in delivering Web technologies to
customers through a focus on content delivery, on faster
access, and on building communities of inter-relationships
between DELL and its customers.
· We believe the PC demand outlook is positive. We
think that overall PC unit growth will be between 15% and
17% year-over-year. Drivers include Windows 2000, Linux,
new Intel processors, and new product introductions by
Dell. Demand is also being driven by Internet infrastructure
build-outs, which favor servers and storage.
· Dell is the number one supplier of PC systems in the
U.S. corporate market. We believe that when Dell
penetrates a corporate account it is often very difficult for
others to dislodge easily, creating a leverage point for the
company over time.
· Dell’s enterprise products continue to represent a fast-growing
portion of sales and an important gross margin
generator. We believe Dell is well positioned to move