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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James Calladine who wrote (9877)9/22/2000 12:25:57 PM
From: AK2004Respond to of 275872
 
James, all

below is Chase h&q report. They state that amd is in line with expectations
and there is an upswing in demand now but..... Does not make much sense.

Regards
-Albert

06:44am EDT 22-Sep-00 Chase H&Q (Sudeep Balain) AMD INTC INTC.N
AMD: Reducing Our Rating to Market Perform; Lowering Price Target to $35

**** Chase H&Q **** Chase H&Q **** Chase H&Q ****

Company: Advanced Micro Devices
Price: 24
Recommendation: Market Perform
Notes: f
Analyst: Sudeep Balain 415-371-4409
Date: 9/22/00

AMD: Reducing Our Rating to Market Perform; Lowering Price Target to $35

* While we believe that AMD's quarter is intact, in terms of meeting our top
line and EPS numbers of $1.2B and $0.62 respectively, we believe that due to
Intel's shortfall and the fact that Intel (INTC, $48, MP) is the bellwether in
the industry and the largest supplier of MPUs, AMD's stock will continue to be
under pressure in the short term.
* Our recent channel checks within the industry show that the company is
already beginning to see an upswing in demand due to the Christmas holiday
season. We are concerned though, that if PC sales do slowdown below our
forecast of approximately 15-17%, there could be a meaningful inventory
overhang in the system where we believe Intel will try to gain more
marketshare at AMD's expense.
* We are lowering our rating on AMD from a STRONG BUY to a Market Perform and
our price target from $75 to $35 but we will revisit both our rating and our
price target once we get better clarity on the dynamics of the MPU market.

1999 A 2000 E 2001 E
Q1 EPS $(0.41) $0.57A $0.59
Q2 EPS (0.55) 0.61A 0.61
Q3 EPS (0.36) 0.62 0.69
Q4 EPS 0.22 0.70 0.86
FY EPS (1.10) 2.50 2.75
FY REVS (M) 2,858 4,859 6,014
CY EPS (1.10) 2.50 2.75
CY P/E NM 9.6 8.7

FY Ends Dec Current Price $24.00
52-Week Range $8-48 Market Cap (M) $8,458
Shares Out (M) 352.4 Book Value $13.86
Cash/Share $7.65 P/S Ratio LTM 2.17
P/S Ratio FTM(E) 1.58