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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stsimon who wrote (74241)9/22/2000 1:28:36 PM
From: jim_p  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Great buys out there. Just bought VRC at 18 5/8, down 9.15%. VRC is a last cycle play, but is an easy triple from this level.

Got SMOP?

Jim



To: stsimon who wrote (74241)9/22/2000 2:38:32 PM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Money spent on oil, ng and gasoline reduces the amount of discretionary spending people have at their disposal. Higher heating costs and transportation costs do have an effect on wholesale and retail prices but it's not as dramatic as some would have us believe. Actually, higher oil prices are much more recessionary, as I believe they take money away from other segments of the economy, thereby slowing these 'other' segments down.

While I agree higher oil prices will be somewhat inflationary, I don't buy into run away or very high inflation caused by high oil prices. If you have $20/week to spend, most people will spend $20. If gasoline costs make up $10 per week of your spending, the other $10 will be spent on other portions of the economy. If gasoline costs increase to $12/week, obviously only $8/week is left for 'other' purchases.

I believe we are more likely to see a greater slowdown in the economy due to higher energy costs as opposed to high inflation.



To: stsimon who wrote (74241)9/22/2000 5:32:01 PM
From: Archie Meeties  Respond to of 95453
 
Our back and forth has become moot hasn't it? The current administration and the Fed both regard oil enough of a threat to take extreme measures against it.

My best guess - Oil and inflation are mute until the SPR is seen as half empty.

If everything works as planned, gold stays range bound (270-325) and equities resume their upward slope into the election.