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To: Yaacov who wrote (110847)9/22/2000 2:55:55 PM
From: AK2004  Respond to of 186894
 
Yaacov, all
thank you and yet another interesting article that relates to demand for intel
Regards
-Albert

First International Says AMD Gains at Intel's Expense (Update2)
9/22/0 1:27 (New York)

First International Says AMD Gains at Intel's Expense (Update2)

(Adds analyst comments in fifth and 12th paragraphs.)

Taipei, Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) -- First International Computer
Inc., one of Taiwan's top-three computer makers, said it increased
purchases of processors from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. because
its main supplier, Intel Corp., can't keep up with demand.
Intel has acknowledged problems meeting customer orders. AMD
opened a new factory in Dresden, Germany and expanded production
at a plant in Austin, Texas, to increase market share.
``AMD now represents about 30 to 35 percent of our
production,'' said sales department director Ralph Liu, higher
than before. ``It looks like AMD's share may be increasing in the
future.''
Intel's switch to making smaller chips may be partly to blame
for its lower sales expectations, according to Warren Lau, an
analyst with HSBC Securities in Singapore.
``Their migration from 0.25 micron to 0.18 micron technology
has not been very smooth,'' Lau said.
By using finer circuits in chips, semiconductor makers can
lower their production costs. Still, migration from one production
technology to another can take months, requiring the addition of
new equipment in production lines.
No Intel officials in Asia were available for comment.
Intel on Thursday said sales in Europe may fall short of
expectations this year. It didn't specify how short. Intel's
shares tumbled as much as 30 percent in overnight trading.
FIC's sales in Europe are currently about 10 percent lower
than expectations, Liu said.
``Usually sales start to pick up dramatically in August, but
that hasn't happened this year,'' he said.
Orders for personal computers at Taiwan manufacturers, which
account for over 60 percent of the world's production, are falling
below expectations, according to analysts.
``We're way below consensus on personal computer shipments,''
said Don Floyd, head of Asian Technology Research at CLSA Global
Emerging Markets. ``Here we are in the third week of September,
and people are still waiting for a magical pick up in demand.''
Taiwan computer makers generally see orders increase during
August and September as customers such as International Business
Machines Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. increase inventories in
preparation for the back-to-school and holiday seasons at year's
end.
FIC's Liu agreed in part with Floyd's view on slower-than-
expected sales, attributing most of the weakness in demand to
Europe.
``There has been weakness in the Euro,'' he said. ``People
may be holding on to their money in anticipation that the Euro
will rise.''
Overall, FIC's global sales are growing by about 30 percent
over last year, Liu said.
FIC fell by as much as NT$0.8, or 5 percent, in early trading
today.



To: Yaacov who wrote (110847)9/22/2000 3:03:01 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Can someone make a coherent Value case for buying INTC at these prices? The Growth rationale (or the MomentumGuessers gamble) isn't going to work, for at least a couple of quarters, so this stock isn't going to find a bottom until the bottom-fishers start buying.

Disclosure: I bought INTC LEAPs in 6/98, sold them in 1/00, and currently have no position. Looking for a buy-back price, possibly for 2003 LEAPs.