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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Logain Ablar who wrote (28418)	9/24/2000 12:58:07 PM
From: Zeev Hed	Respond to of 69835

Tim, what concerns me with the 'sign of the bear" signal is not its predictive accuracy, the paucity of these signals relative to the market behavior. Does that sign relate to the early March decline, do we leave on the table the great profits that were accumulated in two subsequent rises (followed by declines)? As timers, we need some signals that indicate "the long term trend" and some signals that indicate the current short term trend (3 to 6 weeks). A signal that comes once in an eon (6 times in 70 years?) can be good to help determine the very long term trend, but nothing else. The very long term trend has many other valid indicators pointing to it right now. Just let me know if the current swoon down (from early this month, when the turnips suggested a two weeks relapse in the bull move) will continue much beyond those first two weeks (we are already 50% past that point in time, unfortunately) or not (VBG). Zeev irrevolute.iuma.com Zeev