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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: isopatch who wrote (74418)9/24/2000 11:22:50 AM
From: el_gaviero  Respond to of 95453
 
Thanks JQP and others for thoughts on the relationship between oil refinery capacity and crude storage. My problem was with the assertion that we have a bottleneck in refinery capacity. If reported numbers are accurate, clearly we do, but the problem is more complicated because of other facts, such as: increased OPEC production and rising tanker rates.
The story that pulls the facts together (of high refinery utilization, low crude storage, increased OPEC production, increased tanker rates) is a worldwide increase in demand, as noted by JQP. In effect, what is happening, imho, is that the increase in worldwide demand means that we in the USA cannot import the refined product that we need, and are forced to rely on inadequate domestic capacity.
Perhaps this is obvious to you all, but it helps me to see the obvious, and think about its implications, e.g., if Asia or anywhere else tanks, goes into recession, etc. etc, we’ll be able to get all the refined product we need, and another roller coaster ride takes place in the oil patch.
Also, I think the releases from the SPR will have a bit more of an influence on price than most of you all seem to think will be the case.



To: isopatch who wrote (74418)9/24/2000 12:56:59 PM
From: Douglas V. Fant  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
isopatch, I work for a couple of power marketers as well as oil & gas companies. So I try to post the crossover data that helps on investments.

Talking great oil & gas/power data, try to obtain a copy of today's Midland Reporter Telegram. It's weekly oil & gas section is entitled "Natural Gas 2000", and boy! It's packed with data on both NG and gas-to-power issues.

As I get time, I 'll try to post the relevant data here later today