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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chic_hearne who wrote (10304)9/26/2000 2:52:39 PM
From: niceguy767Respond to of 275872
 
chic:

No time to be bearish on AMD now...It has already corrected for the types of concerns that you have raised by about 50% too much...Buying opportunity now...Cutting it too fine, imho, by waiting 'til under $20...Not too many "jewels" currently available that can hold a candle to AMD!!!



To: chic_hearne who wrote (10304)9/26/2000 7:34:24 PM
From: PetzRespond to of 275872
 
chic, re:<no AMD pop because of bear market> Look at AMD in late '81 early '82 at bigcharts.com

81/82 was the first bear market I remember. It ended abruptly in August of '82. But notice that AMD bottomed 8 months earlier in 12/81, was flat for a month and then started appreciating.

You can also see on that chart that we're down all the way to the peak in early '97.

Petz



To: chic_hearne who wrote (10304)9/27/2000 12:14:31 PM
From: david_langstonRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 275872
 
Chic,

And what makes you think this bear market will be ending in "months"?

Is it:

1) US Dollar collapsing causing all the foriegn money to leave the US equities markets?

2) Baby boomers reversing the trend from dumping billions in per week in retirement saving to pulling out billions per week after they are retired?


If those are all you are concerned about, you're living a care-free life. You didn't mention any "realistic" problems.

The down phases of of semiconductor bear markets last from 6 to 12 months from peak to trough. Faster declines mean faster recoveries. This decline (almost 6 months so far) was faster and sharper than any this last decade (and probably for the previous one as well). The '96 through '99 double-dip sales slow down must be on investors minds.

I have no doubt we are in for a long bear market which may or may not have already started.

Well then, let all your bear market experience be your guide.

Dave