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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ahda who wrote (37)9/26/2000 3:51:40 PM
From: ahhahaRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 24758
 
In the end, the central banks almost certainly could turn around the euro if they were truly determined.

This is illiteracy speaking. Greenspan would never say this and has repeatedly stated the powers of CBs are extremely limited. Throughout history intervention has always been shown to be wrong or disastrous. Fortunately, if you live in socialism and write for newspapers, you don't need to know history. Let's put it this way. Even though the UK isn't a member of the EC they will be buying the Rheingeld too, soon enough.

If the ECB spent billions of dollars daily for week after week, the forced sellers would finally be exhausted and the currency would probably start to rise.

And what if the sellers are CBs? Or worse, corporations? In fact, it is CBs selling for their corporate accounts to reduce the risk exposure to the basket case that is caring, feeling, socialism. (It's good for you, but don't put that trash on me)

But will the ECB show such persistence? And if the ECB were truly determined to make the euro recover, why not try a different approach? Why not simply allow the European economy to grow faster by keeping interest rates lower? This would pull private capital back into Europe and buoy the currency up.

Soft money populism rises again. Notice the usage "keeping interest rates lower". This implies they naturally want to rise and so must be forced lower by fiat money. Fiat money will work but it only leads to inflation unless structural change like reduced taxes and reduced social spending is enacted.

Rapid growth is surely a better, and more plausible, solution to euro weakness than bigger and bigger currency intervention. By choosing the intervention route, the ECB risks failure.

This seems to be a rising trend. The idea is to contradict yourself as soon as possible so that your reader realizes you are contemporary, cosmopolitan, and trendy. Oh. I get it. The author did use "almost" above.

And failure could provoke a further loss of confidence, a panic-stricken rise in interest rates and even lower European growth. This is the new cloud on the global economic horizon.

This is completely mistaken. It isn't the failure of intervention that causes the problems. That only exacerbates them because intervention induces a false sense of security while the intervention props up appearances and while the sand runs out from underneath. The problem is the guaranteed existence. It's what busted the Soviet Union. The best minds in Europe can't see this because they are dedicated to helping the people. How could they go against the good?