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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (50030)9/26/2000 5:02:44 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
Experts see trouble for government's case

By Will Rodger, USA TODAY.com

The Supreme Court's decision not to hear a direct appeal of
Judge Thomas Penfield Jackson's order to break up Microsoft
signals serious trouble for the government's antitrust case,
legal experts say.

"The Supreme Court's decision suggests skepticism toward the
government," Chicago antitrust lawyer and Microsoft
supporter Hillard Sterling said. "This is a huge shot in the arm
for Microsoft."

For one thing, the 8-1 decision means the U.S. Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, which earlier
ruled against Jackson, will distill thousands of exhibits and
more than 10,000 pages of courtroom testimony that arose
from the eight-month trial before it reaches the high court.

And that distillation, George Washington University law
professor William Kovacic says, will color the deliberations of
an always-busy Supreme Court.

"The government is in for a rough ride the rest of the way,"
Kovacic said. "I don't think the (appeals court) is simply going
to sweep aside the Jackson decision, but it means that the
result is going to be much diminished from what the
government actually achieved with Jackson."

Microsoft spokesman Jim Cullinan said the company looked
forward to proceeding with the appeal.

The government had told the Supreme Court that a
swift-moving, high-tech economy depended on a quick
resolution of the case. The court needed to take up the case
directly, government lawyers argued, or else risk permanent
harm to competition in the PC software market.

The government relied on a 1974 law that allows the
Supreme Court to choose whether it will review major
antitrust cases before they reach appeals courts. The court has
reviewed similar cases directly only twice since 1974.

But Microsoft argued that the Supreme Court should follow
tradition and let the appeals court review the case first. That,
the company said, would free the court from examining the
voluminous records usually delegated to appeals courts.

Supporters and opponents alike say history and personalities
are leaning in Microsoft's favor.

Of the seven appeals-court judges slated to hear the case, four
- Stephen Williams, A. Raymond Randolph, David Sentelle
and Douglas Ginsburg - are known as pro-market,
anti-regulation judges skeptical of aggressive antitrust
enforcement.

Perhaps more ominous is the apparent feud that has erupted
between Jackson, a conservative Republican appointed by
President Reagan, and his more libertarian brethren on the
appeals bench.

Williams and Randolph ruled against Jackson after he told
Microsoft to separate its browser from the operating system in
a related trial in 1998. The judges said then that Jackson
violated court rules when he ordered the separation without
first hearing arguments on the matter from both sides.

Williams and Randolph also signaled that they probably
would rule against the government in a broader antitrust case,
legal observers said. The judges said then that courts should
defer to software design decisions as long as there was a
"plausible" claim that those decisions helped consumers.

Jackson went out of his way to attack that reasoning. In his
ruling earlier this year, he wrote that the appeals court ruling
was not just irrelevant to the larger antitrust case but wrong
as a matter of law.

And though he was never quoted during the trial, Jackson
spoke to several news outlets before and after the trial. That,
both sides say, does not endear him to the appeals court that is
about to review his work.

"Judge Jackson has engaged in some fairly unusual
procedures," said Robert Levy, a fellow at the libertarian Cato
Institute. "I think that is something the appeals court will
want to look at."

Robert Lande, a professor of law at the University of
Baltimore, said: "Now you are going to have lots of
conservative people shaping the issues. Jackson basically spit
in the eye of the Court of Appeals when he wrote (his
decision)."

Lande said Jackson did an excellent job of keeping the trial
moving for most of the eight months it lasted. But Microsoft
lawyers at times seemed to go out of their way to alienate the
judge, Lande said, whether by asking for more time than he
wanted to give them or adopting sometimes arrogant postures
during the trial.

By the end of the trial, he said, Jackson was showing the
strain. By speaking to the press, refusing to give Microsoft
lawyers more time to argue against a breakup and comparing
the company to imperial Japan, he said, he was inviting
trouble.

"He held it together for a long time, and then he broke down,"
he said.

None of the legal experts interviewed for this article suggested
that a stop at the court of appeals would undo all the penalties
Jackson has imposed on the company. But they were
unanimous in saying the intermediary step probably would
weaken penalties the government does get.

"I think this puts the possibility of a breakup relatively close to
zero now," Kovacic said. "The crucial part of the whole
strategy that certainly Jackson had in mind was to circumvent
the court of appeals. Nothing particularly good will come
from a reunion with that court here."



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (50030)9/26/2000 6:16:36 PM
From: johnd  Respond to of 74651
 
Looking forward to 6.2B and 50c this Q and knock out all the pessimism on MSFT. The above would be a record recenue and record profits. Street expects 5.65B and 41-42c.