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To: THE WATSONYOUTH who wrote (16326)9/26/2000 11:16:09 PM
From: Captain Jack  Respond to of 21876
 
From Technology Investor magazine---
Window Dressing. It's Real.
Aaron's First Report on Mutual Funds In the West
It's 4:00 AM my time and I just found out that Janus Funds cancelled
our meeting today. I have not met a single mutual fund yet, and I've
already learned something. Window dressing is real. Janus Funds very
politely cancelled our meeting today. Their explanation: fund managers
must tend to their funds before they can do public relations. I heartily
agree, though why they agreed to the meeting four weeks ago and then
cancelled at the very last minute is beyond my tiny brain.

But why are Janus Funds managers so busy that they cannot spare an
hour to explain what they do best and get themselves some free ink in
the world's best investment magazine?

Simple: This is the last week of the quarter, the last chance to dress
up their portfolio with the stocks that will impress investors and the
media. No respectable mutual fund manager will admit to this, but the
pressures for window dressing are absolutely real. Holding bad stocks
when the quarterly list is released taints public perception of a fund.
That's why I expect an increase in volume and volatility through the rest
of the week: fund managers (not just those at Janus Funds) will be
selling the stocks that disappointed during the quarter and buying the
stocks that went up. Go back to our home page and read about stocks
we think will be "window dressed."


Wednesday June 28

9:00am: Invesco
Invesco Funds
Fund: Invesco Telecommunications (ISWCX)
Manager: Brian Hayward
Portfolio: $6 billion
Team: Donna Jaegers, assistant portfolio manager and Brian Miller,
equity analyst.
Description: Invesco has 33 different funds. Managers meet regularly to
share ideas. Hayward works closely with Bill Keithler, manager of the
$10 billion Invesco Technology II (FTCHX) and his team. Hayward, or
one of his team, has met the CEO of every company his fund owns at
least once, usually more.
Best quote: "Our high-yield bond fund [run by senior VP Jerry Paul]
acts like a canary in a coal mine. They seem to find the rumors and
problems about companies before the equity guys do. They tell us how
a company's bonds are trading. That gives us a good fix on the
company. It's also a window into a company before its IPO."
Second best quote: "Our turnover [buying and selling stocks] is very
low. It was 55% last year and running about 44% so far this year. That
makes for very low capital gains distributions [lower tax bite]. Our
distribution last year was 0.3%. The next closest competitor in our
group was at 4%."


11:00am: Marsico Funds
Marsico Capital Management
Funds: Marsico 21st Century Fund (MXXIX)
Manager: James Hillary
Portfolio: $144 million
Team: Six research analysts; 2 research associates
Description: Jim Hillary and Tom Marisco have dominated this
company, since it started in 1997. They are responsible for its success.
They research a huge range of companies across a broad swath of
technology.
Best quote: "The market reflects news at light speed. You hit price
targets soon if you are right and you are in the doghouse for a long time
if you are wrong."
Second best quote: "The market is very emotional right now, led by
fear, greed and momentum. It's hard to make sound investments when
logic doesn't rule. We try to get different information before the rest of
the market, so we can be logical."


3:30pm: ICON (Meridian Investment Management)
Marsico Capital Management
Funds: 12 ICON Sector funds, including Telecommunications and
Utilities (ICTUX) and Technology (ICTEX)
Managers: Craig Callahan and Nick Azari
Portfolio: $500 million
Team: Three research analysts
Description: Callahan and Azari pick their stocks using a quantitative
model, an extensively enhanced version of Graham’s model for value
investing. They build their portfolio by identifying the best industries
within each sector and then buying a bundle of the stocks in that
industry. They focus at the industry level to reduce the impact on their
portfolio of random events at one company (missed earnings, executive
departures, lawsuits).
Best quote: “We don’t know the story [behind a company]. The story is
the most fun part of investing. Magazines like the story. But we don’t
know it. We prefer numbers to stories. So we make for a pretty bad
interview.” [Not even close to the truth -- editor.]
Second best quote: “We believe there is a law of nature in the market.
We have observed investors as if they were in a lab. We believe our
equation captures the way they behave, on average. Every now and then
they get carried away in one direction or another. We think we’ve
learned to tell when their changing direction.”