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To: RR who wrote (4720)10/2/2000 6:35:17 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
RE: EXTR.....

Handspring vaults to top of third-quarter winner's list
By Dawn Kawamoto and Cecily Barnes
Staff Writers, CNET News.com
October 2, 2000, 3:00 p.m. PT
URL: news.cnet.com
How quickly the mighty fall.

As the third quarter came to a close, Handspring claimed the title of best-performing tech stock among those with a market share of $1 billion or more, according to CNET Investor. The company, which debuted with a respectable initial public offering in the previous quarter, ended the third quarter with a stellar 156 percent gain.

But a lot can change in a day.

While the handheld-device company ended the quarter at $69.06 on Friday, its share price fell $10.63, or 15 percent, today.

"PC Data came out with its numbers on retail distribution for August. And Handspring's numbers were lighter in August than in July," explained Thomas Sepenzis, an analyst with CIBC World Markets.

He added Wall Street suspects Handspring's Visor is feeling the competitive pressure from Palm, which released its own low-end device in August. Both products are priced at $149.

Although some of the luster has been taken from Handspring's market performance today, Sepenzis said the strong third-quarter performance is not necessarily an anomaly.

"Handspring is riding the tide that will lift all boats. These companies are starting to show there is overall market demand for these devices and they'll do well in the future," he said.

Analysts are expressing a similar sentiment for networking companies, many of which posted percentage gains in the triple digits last quarter. This group far outperformed the overall Nasdaq composite index, which slipped 7 percent from July through the end of September.

Meanwhile, a networking company also claimed the title of best performing IPO in the third quarter, according to New York-based market-research firm CommScan.

"The networking sector was slow at the beginning of the year on a historical basis. But we started to see it build momentum in the second quarter and continue through to the third quarter, which is a typically slow period," said Erik Suppiger, an analyst with Chase H&Q.

Network-related companies that more than doubled in the quarter include MMC Networks, Extreme Networks and CacheFlow.

"CacheFlow is a story of fast revenue growth and market share, in an industry that's growing rapidly," said Robert Fagin, an analyst with Bear Stearns.

CacheFlow, whose products speed the delivery of Web pages, posted a 75 percent sequential increase in revenues to $22.4 million for the most recent quarter. The company's shares closed the quarter at $143 a share, up 132 percent.

Extreme Networks, which ended the quarter up 117 percent to $114.50, also posted a strong quarter as its revenue surged, Suppiger said. Extreme reported fourth-quarter revenue of $92.4 million, up 142 percent over a year ago. When the company reported its quarterly results last July, it also announced a 2-for-1 stock split.

Meanwhile, MMC received a lift in its share price from a $4.5 billion merger with Applied Micro Circuits, Suppiger said.

The builder of computer network processors and communications-management technology, is entering what is believed to be the second largest merger in the semiconductor industry.

Among IPOs for the quarter, shares of networking company Avici Systems posted the strongest first-day gain, surging up 212 percent to $96.75 on the day the company went public.

Avici was one of 138 successful IPOs in the quarter, raising a total of $16.2 billion, according to Commscan.

The IPO market regained some luster in the quarter, with the offerings handily beating the downtrodden second quarter in both the number of deals and average first-day gain. During the third quarter, IPOs averaged a 41 percent gain, while the 90 deals floated in the second quarter averaged 34 percent.

The most new issues for the quarter, and the year, were launched in August, typically a slow month. Sixty-three companies went public during August, compared with just 23 in September.

Despite these improvements, the third quarter falls considerably short of the 97 percent first-day gain seen in the first quarter and the 52 percent return for all of last year.

"There were too many deals that were put into the system, as a last-ditch attempt to get them done because they would not be able to compete with the deals in the post Labor Day period," said David Menlow, president of the IPO Financial Network. "Many of them that got priced this summer were part of the old-school perception (that almost any company can hold a successful IPO)."

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To: RR who wrote (4720)10/2/2000 6:45:31 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Monday October 2, 6:00 pm Eastern Time

Region of the Day: Qualcomm Quals Back Onto Track
Alysha Webb, Correspondent

After a rebuff in favor of domestically grown technology, it's running again in the China CDMA race.

It looks like all is not lost for Qualcomm's (Nasdaq:QCOM - news) China dreams.


Wu Jichuan, head of China's Ministry of Information Industry, announced last Monday that China would allow telecom companies to chose which code division multiple access (CDMA) standard they wanted to use, reviving hopes that Qualcomm will take a big chunk of the huge Chinese market for wireless technology.

``From Qualcomm's perspective, it had been shut out of China -- [the announcement] can only be good news,'' says Hong Kong-based Niq Lai, regional telecom analyst for Credit Suisse First Boston.

Rocky Road

The pathway into the Chinese market for wireless technology developer Qualcomm has been rocky.

In February of this year, when it signed an agreement with Unicom (NYSE:CHU - news), China's second-largest telecom company, to build out a nationwide CDMA network, it appeared Qualcomm had won the plum prize of providing the standard for China's CDMA systems.

But China's government suddenly announced the buildout was on hold indefinitely. Rumors swirled that the delay was so that China could finish developing its own third-generation (3G) TD-SCDMA technology.

Qualcomm's stock began a steady decline, and for the past few months has languished in the 60s, far below the beginning of this year when it was trading close to 200. Recently it has climbed slightly, and on Thursday, Qualcomm closed at 74.8125, up 2.66%.

The recent announcement may be the catalyst the stock needs to begin to approach January's heights again, analysts say.

``You could see it back up to $150 a share,'' predicts Derek Chan, Hong Kong-based telecom analyst for Bear Sterns Asia. ``One issue seems to be clear -- that China will adopt CDMA. Qualcomm would always be attractive, they would get royalties'' no matter which standard was chosen, he adds.


CDMA Cash Cow

But Qualcomm earns the most royalties from the CDMA2000 standard, which carries the most components for which Qualcomm holds patents. Other contenders are WCDMA and TD-SCDMA, which also have the International Telecommuication Union (ITU) stamp of approval.

All have their backers. Qualcomm is naturally pushing CDMA2000. WCDMA is popular in Europe and a Japanese consortium including wireless titan DoCoMo (OTC:NTDMY - news) will use WCDMA.

TD-SCDMA was recently adopted by the ITU as one of five international standards. German telecom giant Siemens (OTC:SMAWY - news) invested more than $1 billion in helping China to develop TD-SCDMA. Nortel Networks (NYSE:NT - news) and Motorola (NYSE:MOT - news) are also hedging their bets by working with China on the development.

The stakes are big in the race to convince companies to adopt CDMA2000, or another standard. China currently has 65 million mobile-phone subscribers, according to the MII's Wu. That means growth has already topped estimates by International Data Corporation (IDC), which forecast China could have 63 million registered mobile-phone users by end-2000. By 2004, China could have 150 million mobile subscribers, by some estimates.

Saying One Thing, Doing Another

During US Secretary of Commerce William Daley's March visit to China last year, premier Zhu Rongji announced that China would go ahead with a nationwide rollout of CDMA, contrary to earlier comments by other officials hinting that China would wait for third-generation mobile phones before building CDMA.

But many still speculated that China was holding out for its domestically developed TD-SCDMA to be ready to launch before adopting a standard. The recent comments by the MII's Wu suggest China has opted in favor of competition, analysts say.

``MII wants to see different technologies flourish because they want to seem competitive,'' says CSFB's Chan. The statement could have also been prompted by the fact that the TD-SCDMA technology won't be ready for large-scale use for three to four years, says Duncan Clark, partner and founder of Beijing-based telecom consultancy BDA China.

``Clearly (China's) intention is to develop national champions for 3G, (but) you can't wait four years just for china to get a standard moving,'' he adds.

Clark sees WCDMA as the likely favorite because of its European and Japanese backing.

Bullying Others

But, given its market size, even if China ostensibly allows the telecom companies to chose their standard, the country could bring pressure to bear on smaller countries, like Korea, to adopt the TD-SCDMA standard in return for access to China's market, points out a western diplomat in Beijing who declined to be named.

In any case, there are still plenty of potholes on the road to the CDMA future.

Unicom plans to build out CDMA were stymied when the State Development Planning Commission (SPDC) claimed the telecom firm had not followed proper procedures, says the diplomat. ``The SPDC still hasn't dropped its objection,'' he adds.

``I'll believe it when I see it. I won't believe anything until the contracts are actually worded,'' the diplomat adds skeptically.

Go to www.worldlyinvestor.com to see all of our latest stories.

biz.yahoo.com

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