To: jlallen who wrote (41190 ) 9/30/2000 10:47:17 PM From: Mr. Whist Respond to of 769667 Here's the latest state-by-state breakdown off the N.Y. Times Web page. Filed at 12:49 p.m. ET 9/30/00 Associated Press The 50 states, their electoral votes and analyses based on poll results and interviews with Democratic, Republican and independent observers. ALABAMA (9) -- Solid Bush. ALASKA (3) -- Solid Bush. ARIZONA (8) -- Leans Bush, but not by much. Gore made big gains in September and may begin airing ads if post-debate polling looks good. ARKANSAS (6) -- Tossup. President Clinton's home state is turning Republican. CALIFORNIA (54) -- Leans Gore. It's put-up-or-shut-up time for Bush; if he doesn't increase his ad buy early this month, California goes Democrat. Some Republicans already think it's a lost cause. COLORADO (8) -- Leans Bush. Public poll shows race tight, but Democrats plan to conduct their own surveys after Tuesday's debate before deciding whether to make a run. CONNECTICUT (8) -- Solid Gore. Adding native son Joseph Lieberman to ticket gives Gore near-lock. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA (3) -- Solid Gore. DELAWARE (3) -- Leans Gore. State has voted for winner in every presidential election since 1948, and has moved toward vice president since Labor Day. FLORIDA (25) -- Tossup. Gore has kept it close while being badly outspent in this GOP-leaning state run by Bush's brother, a bad sign for the Texan. Bush needs to be spending his money elsewhere. GEORGIA (13) -- Leans Bush. South tough for Gore. HAWAII (4) -- Solid Gore. IDAHO (4) -- Solid Bush. ILLINOIS (22) -- Leans Gore. Both campaigns cut ads buys, but don't count Bush out yet. INDIANA (12) -- Solid Bush. IOWA (7) -- Leans Gore. Bush spending more in ads than Gore, but vice president still strong. KANSAS (6) -- Solid Bush. KENTUCKY (8) -- Leans Bush. Democrats would like to make late run, but coal and tobacco country rough on Gore. LOUISIANA (9) -- Tossup. Democrats say race tied; Republicans say Bush is up. Both sides agree Gore lost ground by attacking oil industry. MAINE (4) -- Leans Gore. Bush outspent Gore on TV as vice president moves this from tossup column. MARYLAND (10) -- Solid Gore. MASSACHUSETTS (12) -- Solid Gore in state hosting first debate. MICHIGAN (18) -- Tossup. Polls show Bush has slipped in critical Midwest. MINNESOTA (10) -- Leans Gore. ``Minnesota is returning to its traditional patterns,'' concedes Tom Horner, a GOP strategist in the state. MISSISSIPPI (7) -- Solid Bush. MISSOURI (11) -- Tossup. Bush slowed Gore's momentum in last two weeks. MONTANA (3) -- Solid Bush. No talk of Gore making a play, despite close statewide races. NEBRASKA (5) -- Solid Bush. NEVADA (4) -- Tossup. Hurt by local issue, Bush finally vows veto of nuclear dump. Gore airs first ads, but buy is tiny as he tests waters. NEW HAMPSHIRE (4) -- Tossup. Bush looking stronger in his best New England state. NEW JERSEY (15) -- Leans Gore. Bush can't win without big investment and money getting tight. May be a casualty of Florida fiasco. NEW MEXICO (5) -- Tossup. Hispanic vote split, a key. NEW YORK (33) -- Solid Gore. NORTH CAROLINA (14) -- Leans Bush. Gore has little presence in state; consultants in both parties wondering if he has written it off. Gore says no. NORTH DAKOTA (3) -- Solid Bush. OHIO (21) -- Tossup. Both campaigns claim they're ahead, but public polls show a tie. Bush needs the state to get to 270 electoral votes. OKLAHOMA (8) -- Solid Bush. OREGON (7) -- Tossup. Ralph Nader a threat to Gore. PENNSYLVANIA (23) -- Leans Gore. Vice president gains ground since Labor Day, though Bush keeping within range. GOP leaders needs to ``get off their duffs,'' says political science professor Mike Young. RHODE ISLAND (4) -- Solid Gore. SOUTH CAROLINA (8) -- Solid Bush. SOUTH DAKOTA (3) -- Solid Bush. TENNESSEE (11) -- Leans Gore. State turning Republican, but it's still his home. TEXAS (32) -- Solid Bush. Gore can't mess with Texas. UTAH (5) -- Solid Bush. VERMONT (3) -- Solid Gore. VIRGINIA (13) -- Solid Bush. WASHINGTON (11) -- Tossup. A Democratic state that Bush keeping close. WEST VIRGINIA (5) -- Tossup. Gore may regret pulling ads out of the traditionally Democratic state; polls suggest he lost his lead since Labor Day. WISCONSIN (11) -- Tossup. Republican Gov. Tommy Thompson a big help to Bush in state that traditionally backs Democratic presidential candidates. WYOMING (3) -- Solid Bush