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To: Telemarker who wrote (75412)10/3/2000 11:04:07 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
My take is much broader than commodities.

The US has sucked huge amounts of capital from abroad these past 5 years. That has greatly boosted the relative performance of the US economy and markets for quite some time. No big trick to keeping inflation down and interest rates low when you can import huge quantities of foreign goods and pay for them by simply printing IOUs.

When this capital flow starts to reverse the relative performance of the US economy and financial assets will drop a lot.



To: Telemarker who wrote (75412)10/3/2000 1:25:48 PM
From: Archie Meeties  Respond to of 95453
 
These stats might help your decision making process.

US per capita energy production (mil. BTU)
1970 304
1997 270
US per capita energy consumption
1970 327
1997 352 (The solution, of course, is to open the spr.)

US energy consumption per dollar of GDP (1,000 btu)
1970 19.6
1999 14.1

per capita carbon dioxide production from fossil fuels(tons of carbon) 1998.
US 21
UK 9
Japan 9
France 6
Austria 8
Mexico 4

per capita energy consumption (mil btu) 1998
US 352
UK 171
Japan 169
France 166
Austria 160
Mexico 59

I've struggled to reconcile this and other data with the common knowledge that 'higher oil prices will affect other economies more than ours'. But until I see otherwise, common knowledge will remain just that. Perhaps the BLS finds that our energy is more productive and of a higher quality than before or elsewhere.

In short, there is no economy in the world which is more sensitive to changes in energy costs than ours. (Excluding the oil states, of course.)