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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Clappy who wrote (5232)10/3/2000 12:42:25 PM
From: lurqer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Am I nuts?

Certainly! Was there any doubt?

Now whether you've outlined a reasonable play is a totally different question. Like any front month play it's a gamble.

Here is an amusing take on our weekend discussion re. a yearend bounce (may have some relevance).

Message 14499368

lurqer



To: Clappy who wrote (5232)10/3/2000 12:54:29 PM
From: r.edwards  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Clappy , what did you decide..? It looks interesting, but so did the last craps table I looked at.



To: Clappy who wrote (5232)10/3/2000 2:54:42 PM
From: elpolvo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
optionable clappy-

one thing to consider with those low priced near term options is the difficulty of getting in and out. these things aren't as liquid as stocks and dealing with MMs in options is not the same ballgame as stocks. you need to use limit orders on both the buy and the sell. sometimes there is a rather large spread on the buy and ask and getting filled on your order even at the bid (for a sell) or ask (for a buy) is not automatic (sometimes it's hard).

1 3/8 for Oct 45s.
A pop to 1 3/4 is more than a 25% profit.


that's a difference of only 3/8. you may have a spread on the bid and ask prices that is that large. trading on paper is much easier than making the real deal. i wouldn't try a trade like that unless i expected a much bigger increase (say a double) and even then you would be lucky to make the trades happen just right and get 50-75%. something less than that would hardly be worth the risk.

but what do i know? i hope some of the options traders here will jump in and confirm, deny and/or expand on what i'm muddling through here.

-polovato