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Technology Stocks : LU - Lucent Technologies NEWS ONLY! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (52)10/4/2000 9:50:31 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 62
 
HQ:Maintain BUY; LU near a trough; Service Provider BU undervalued
Excerpts from Chase HQ 10/2/00
1 of 2 Avaya and Microelectronics Spin-offs Allow LU to Refocus; Maintain
Buy Rating* Spin-offs should allow Lucent to focus on its core business
* New product development is key to a reversal of fortune
* Microelectronics accounts for most of LU's valuation, Service Provider
business undervalued
* Maintain BUY based on valuation
1999 A 2000 E 2001 E Q1 EPS $0.49 $0.33A $NE
Q2 EPS 0.17 0.20A NE Q3 EPS 0.23 030A NE
Q4 EPS 0.24 0.27 NE FY EPS 1.12 1.11 1.30
FY REVS (M) 29,911 34,317 41,180 CY EPS 0.96 1.05 1.40
CY P/E 32 29 22
FY Ends Sep Current Price $30.69
52-Week Range $28-84 Market Cap (M) $102,220
Shares Out (M) 3,331 Book Value $7.84
Net Cash/Share $0.21 Growth Rate 20%
CY01 P/E-to-Growth 110%
We are maintaining our BUY rating on Lucent shares, based on the a sum-of-the
parts analysis of the company's three businesses: Avaya (NYSE: AV-$20.06, Not
Rated), Microelectronics and Service Provider. We believe most of the value
in Lucent's current share price of $30.69 reflects the contribution of the
Microelectronics segment, with the Service Provider business being
substantially discounted and the Avaya portion contributing minimally. As a
result, we believe that Lucent shares are near a trough, and should begin to
rebound as investors focus on the spin-offs of Avaya and Microelectronics.
Near-term pressure on the shares of LU is expected, as we are expecting the
company's fiscal fourth quarter to be weaker than current estimates. We
believe the troubles in the Service Provider business are related to an
inability to quickly develop or acquire new products, but can be solved over
the long-term, given Bell Labs' enormous stable of engineering talent. We
believe ongoing product development and new products should continue to ramp,
and gain traction in the marketplace over the next few quarters.
Avaya spin-off should be a positive for Lucent
Effective October 2, 2000, the company has spun-off its enterprise networking
business, creating a newly independent company called Avaya Inc. The spin-off
was carried out as a stock dividend, with shareholders of Lucent receiving one
share of Avaya for every twelve shares of Lucent. Based on Avaya's when-
issued price of $19.75, the unit is valued at approximately $5.5 billion, or
$1.65 per Lucent share. The spin-off allows Lucent to focus on faster-growing
segments of the telecommunications equipment market, including optics,
wireless and data-networking. Over the past few years, the enterprise
business has grown in the mid-single digits, while Lucent's other businesses
have been growing in excess of 20%. Furthermore, Avaya's customer base, which
consists of enterprise subscribers, is very different than the Service
Provider business, which serves the regional Bell operating companies (RBOCs),
long distance carriers and competitive local exchange carriers (CLECs). We
believe the spin-off should allow Lucent to focus on the needs of its service
provider customers.Microelectronics business carries most of the LU valuation
Lucent has already announced its intention to spin-off 20% of its
Microelectronics business via an IPO in the March quarter, followed by a spin-
off of the remaining 80% in mid-2001. The Microelectronics division is
already a leading supplier of communications integrated circuits (75% of
revenues) and optical components (25% of revenues). We believe the
Microelectronics business will contribute $6.1 billion and $7.8 billion in
revenues in calendar 2000 and 2001. We believe the Microelectronics business
currently accounts for approximately $58 to $74 billion of Lucent's $102
billion valuation. This is based on a multiple derived by taking the blended
average of comparable companies, including JDS Uniphase (OTC: $91.81-JDSU) for
the optoelectronics portion of the business and an average of Broadcom (OTC:
$244.19-BRCM, Buy), Texas Instruments (NYSE: $50.00-TXN, Buy) and Conexant
(OTC: $41.69-CNXT, Buy) for the Integrated Circuit business. The low end of
the range on our Microelectronics valuation assumes that the unit is being
evaluated solely on its integrated circuit business, while the high end of the
range reflects the 75%/25% split between integrated circuits and optical
components.Source: Chase H&Q estimates
Based on our assumptions for Microelectronics and Avaya, we can back into the
current valuation for the core Service Provider business. As shown above, the
best case scenario values the Service Provider business at approximately $39
billion, similar to the combined valuation of ADC Telecommunications and
Tellabs. Looked at another way, the business is trading at approximately half
the valuation of Juniper Networks.
We include a chart of the market
capitalizations of other companies we follow to get a picture of where
Lucent's businesses would fit.

Short-term pressure exists, but problems can be resolved in the long run,
maintain Buy rating
We believe that the company's problems are based on its inability to develop
and acquire products in high-growth areas. Nortel has extended its lead in
optics, while newer companies, such as Juniper, leave Lucent behind in the
rapidly expanding market for core IP routing. In addition, we believe the
company's fiscal fourth quarter could fall short of our expectations for $9.4
billion in revenues and $0.27 in EPS.
[LU didn't warn. IMHO, It would meet the consensus EPS]
However, in the long-run, we believe
that the company's tremendous customer relationships and the capabilities of
Bellabs should help the company turn its fortunes around. While the concerns
surrounding the stock are warranted, we believe the stock is near a trough and
is poised to rebound, once evidence of new product development and management
execution surfaces. We maintain our Buy rating on Lucent shares.



To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (52)10/5/2000 1:40:16 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 62
 
Details of $1B SBC:7R/E, AnyMedia Access Systems, X550, CBX500 WAN switches
SBC Communications Names Lucent Technologies Primary Supplier For SBC's Advanced National Network
PR Newswire - October 05, 2000 07:16

Lucent Expected to Provide More Than $1 Billion in Advanced Networking Infrastructure Technology as SBC Expands Across the United States

SAN ANTONIO, and MURRAY HILL, N.J., Oct. 5 /PRNewswire/ -- SBC Communications (NYSE: SBC) and Lucent Technologies (NYSE: LU) today announced that SBC has selected Lucent as the primary provider of data, voice and access infrastructure technology for its national network expansion. The five-year agreement is expected to be valued at more than $1 billion.

The contract covers SBC's nationwide entry into 30 markets outside its traditional service areas. The company already has established sales and operations activities in Baltimore, Boston, Ft. Lauderdale, Miami, New York, Seattle, and Washington, DC, with full service to begin this fall. SBC will enter nine new markets this year and 21 next year, providing local, long-distance, Internet and high-speed data services to businesses and consumers.

The equipment, software and services Lucent will provide under the agreement will create the advanced networking infrastructure that will enable SBC to offer its customers compelling and value-priced packages of voice and data services with superior technology and reliability.

"Today's agreement is another major step toward being able to offer our customers a one-stop, full-service communications alternative," said Ron Blake, who oversees the national expansion as president of SBC Telecom, Inc. "We are looking to Lucent to provide the key networking infrastructure to build a next-generation, reliable, and cost effective network that exceeds our customers' expectations."

"Lucent's technological innovations and capabilities in the areas of data networking technology will enable us to offer next-generation services quickly as we continue to enter these markets," Blake added.

This is the first time a former Bell operating company is competing for local business and residential customers on a national scale. When it completes the 30-market expansion, SBC will offer service nationwide in markets that reach 180 million people -- two thirds of the U.S. population.


"SBC is aggressively moving forward with plans to introduce a new level of competition in major markets nationwide," said Tom Hilton, sales vice president for Lucent. "As a primary supplier for SBC's national expansion, we're proud to be a part of this historic telecommunications milestone that will enable SBC to expand and offer a full suite of telecommunications services to customers across the country."

Local and long-distance data and voice services will be provided through a combination of Lucent's 7R/E(TM) Packet Solutions, AnyMedia(R) Access Systems, GX 550(TM) and CBX 500(TM) Multiservice Wide Area Network (WAN) switches, and operations and network management systems. Lucent's 7R/E Packet Solutions will provide SBC with data capabilities today and a smooth transition from circuit to packet networks. The agreement also includes Lucent's AnyMedia system that links SBC Telecom customers to its network through traditional voice or high-speed DSL connections. The GX 550 and CBX 500 are high-capacity, multiservice switches for the network core and edge that deliver ATM, frame relay and IP Multi-Protocol Label Switching services providing a scalable foundation for next generation networks. Lucent will also provide operations, provisioning and network management software, as well as engineering, installation and other support services from its NetworkCare(SM) Professional Services (NPS) unit for SBC Telecom.

SBC Communications Inc. (http://www.sbc.com) is a global communications leader. Through its subsidiaries' trusted brands -- Southwestern Bell, Ameritech, Pacific Bell, SBC Telecom, Nevada Bell, SNET and Cellular One -- and world-class network, SBC's subsidiaries provide local and long-distance phone service, wireless and data communications, paging, high-speed Internet access and messaging, cable and satellite television, security services and telecommunications equipment, as well as directory advertising and publishing. In the United States, the company currently has 61.2 million access lines, 12.2 million wireless customers and is undertaking a national expansion program that will bring SBC service to an additional 30 markets. Internationally, SBC has telecommunications investments in more than 20 countries. With approximately 219,000 employees, SBC is the 13th-largest employer in the U.S., with annual revenues that rank it among the largest Fortune 500 companies.

SOURCE Lucent Technologies

/CONTACT: Mary Ward, 908-582-7658, office, or 732-424-0215, home,
maryward@lucent.com, or Denise Panyik-Dale, 410-424-2729, office, or
888-319-4310, pager, dpanyikdale@lucent.com, both of Lucent Technologies; or
Ed Presberg of SBC Communications, 314-982-8688, office, or 888-366-5796,
pager/

/Web site: lucent.com

sbc.com
------------------------------------
Thursday, October 05, 2000

Lucent stock busiest on NYSE
--11:52 am - By Tomi Kilgore
Lucent Technologies (LU: news, msgs) is edging 50 cents higher to $33.44. With 14.7 million shares already traded, the stock is the most active on the NYSE. The communications equipement maker said it had won a $1 billion contract to supply gear to SBC Communications (SBC: news, msgs), the U.S.'s second largest local phone carrier. SBC's stock is adding $1.19 to $52.94. Among other telecom equipment makers, Nortel Networks (NT: news, msgs) is tacking on $2.19 to $65.81 and Alcatel (ALA: news, msgs) is gaining 88 cents to $66.88.



To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (52)10/5/2000 1:45:34 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 62
 
LU wins $180 M contract to provide optical-systems for Eletronet in Brazil
Lucent, based in Murray Hill, New Jersey, also said it signed a $180 million contract to provide optical-networking systems for Eletronet, a supplier of bandwidth for communications companies in Brazil.
yahoo.cnet.com



To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (52)10/5/2000 1:57:07 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 62
 
SANYY and LU are teaming up to develop 3G CDMA2000
cnetinvestor.com
Tech Radar - Comments from SG Cowen
10/5/00 9:06:02 AM
Source: SG Cowen

LU (Buy, $33) Announces 2 Deals; Partners w/ SANYY (NR, $46) On 3G Phones
. SBC (NR, $51) selected LU as the primary provider of data, voice and access infrastructure technology for its national network expansion. The five-year agreement is expected to be valued at more than $1 billion. (Source: PRNewswire)
. LU inked $180MM deal to supply op networking sys to Eletronet in Brazil. (Source: Dow Jones)
. SANYY and LU are teaming up to develop 3G cellular phones compatible with the CDMA2000- 1x telecommunications std for the U.S. market. LU and SANYY said they intend to jointly develop an even more advanced system named 1Xeolution (1XEV). (Source: CBSMW)
CSCO (Strong Buy, $59), NT (Strong Buy, $64), ALA (Buy, $66), MRCQY – SBC contract was competitive win over current primary suppliers to SBC. LU is building momentum into reporting season. Eletronet is a good int’l win; evidence LU is building momentum in optical systems.
NOK (NR, $41), MOT (NR, $30), ERICY (NR, $16), MIELY (NR, $83) – SANYY / LU alliance further evidence global competition for the big three handset mfrs continues to heat up. Separately, this morning, PHG introduced a new chip for mobile phones based on the GPRS std and annc’d it is working w/ MIELY to develop GPRS handsets.



To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (52)10/5/2000 2:10:05 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 62
 
Optical networking WaveSplitter files IPO:LU is its biggest backer
October 05, 2000 09:59
newsalert.com

Optical networking company WaveSplitter files IPO
WASHINGTON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Fiber optic components maker WaveSplitter Technologies Inc. has filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission to raise $115 million in an initial public offering of common stock.
The number of shares and their price range will be revealed later by WaveSplitter, which applied for a Nasdaq listing under the symbol WVSP

Goldman Sachs will lead an underwriting group comprised of J.P. Morgan, Bear Stearns and U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray, it said in a filing on Wednesday.

The Fremont, Calif.-based company plans to use proceeds for working capital, capital expenditures and other general corporate purposes. It also may use proceeds to build or buy an optical wafer fabrication facility and expand its existing manufacturing facilities.

WaveSplitter was incorporated in January 1996 and was known as Applied Fiber Optics Inc. until February 1999.

It sells its products to optical networking system manufacturers that make products such as optical amplifiers and dense wavelength division multiplexing systems for the optical networking market.

Current customers include Corning Inc. and Corvis Corp. . WaveSplitter began selling its products in commercial volumes in December 1999. It posted net losses of $7.3 million in the first half of this year, and $13 million in 1999.

Its biggest backers include Lucent Technologies Inc.'s Lucent Venture Partners Inc.