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Strategies & Market Trends : Trader J's Inner Circle -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LTK007 who wrote (35489)10/7/2000 8:24:26 AM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 56535
 
Yes JT analysis is right on. If we can make it through October without breaking 3000 then we'll be OK but the bears won't give up without a fight.

Again, I reitterate, In October '98 Rydex SPX URSA Short assets were greater than SPX Long NOVA total assets and the "invested money" was fighting the primary trend on the way up in the midst of the correction. Now, in Oct '2000, the money is fighting it on the way down as the money continues to play long in the face of lower lows booked on SPX.. This spillover effect will be quite pronounced in NDX if NDX breaks the psychological NDX 3,000 level on a close... NDX closed at NDX 3,312 today... It came close to breaking NDX 3,000 close on May 23 when NDX closed at NDX 3,023 and NDX Long OTC total assets booked 2,477 BILLION total assets. This is the magic number for the hard break..



To: LTK007 who wrote (35489)10/7/2000 8:34:36 AM
From: Softechie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 56535
 
Based on this trend line on Nasdaq: low 7/96 and low 8/99.

1) A crash occurred from 7/98 to 10/98.
2) A bull market from 10/99 to 3/00.
3) A major correction taking place since then.
4) Support at 3000.

I agree with JT that 3000 is the critical point for Nasdaq.