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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lurqer who wrote (6523)	10/8/2000 12:22:17 AM
From: elpolvo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 65232

lurq- agreed. the 52wk low line is about to go screaming upward. the present market may well bring it down when they meet. the commercial short interest doesn't scare the pants off me. they are in a position that many have no choice but to buy insurance (shorts and puts). my main historical interest in the market is the annual pattern of growth and decline. 3 of the 4 bear market bottoms appear to be in the same time of year (late summer - early fall). perhaps that's why they call it fall. and the great majority of the growth periods in all the years represented are concentrated in the late fall to early spring period. i believe there are several reasons for this. i.e., things that occur every year at this time that are tied to money flow... and consequently market growth/decline. 1)end of old, beginning of new fiscal year for US government. (sept. 30th, i believe) 2)holiday sales and shopping season. (nov., dec.) 3)end of year bonuses (dec) 4)many businesses fiscal year ends and new begins (dec 31) 5)many individual tax refunds (jan) 6)most IRA funding occurs for prior year (jan - apr. 15) 7)individual income tax deadline (apr. 15) BWDIK? -polvie

To: lurqer who wrote (6523)	10/8/2000 7:05:40 AM
From: Clappy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 65232

Now something to scare the pants off you is... Thanks a lot Lurqer... My frightened pants leaped off of me and ran upstairs to hide under the bed... All I need now is for my wife to see me sitting here, with no pants on, and one of the windows on my computer monitor opened to that muddy pig picture that I just posted to Dealer. I'd sure have a whole lotta explaining to do... :^) Thanks a lot. <Clappy hangs a curtain around his waist, sneaks upstairs and tries to convince his faded blue Levi's that it's safe to come out from under the bed...> HeeHaw! -PantlessClappy