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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mr. Whist who wrote (44126)	10/9/2000 12:35:07 AM
From: Frank Griffin	Respond to of 769670

Archie, you done good. s

To: Mr. Whist who wrote (44126)	10/9/2000 12:45:58 AM
From: ColtonGang	Respond to of 769670

LATIMES>>>>>>>>>>>> "It doesn't look like either side will deliver the knockout punch until election day." Indeed, the real story of this presidential campaign--like the equally tight battle underway for control of Congress--may be that the Democratic and Republican parties are operating today in a position of extraordinary parity. "The two parties are probably more evenly matched across the country than they have been at any time in modern history," said Tom Cole, the Republican National Committee's chief of staff. Both sides expect that control of the House and Senate will rest on narrow majorities. "There is no way we can blow them out or they can blow us out in the congressional races," Cole said. Meanwhile, the race between Bush and Gore is shaping up as the closest in years--perhaps since John F. Kennedy's 49.7%-49.5% squeaker over Richard Nixon in 1960. "This is Kennedy-Nixon, this is 1960," insisted GOP pollster Whit Ayres. "This has the feel of one that could very well go all the way to the end." One measure of the race's competitiveness is the size of the battlefield. Overall, Gore may now hold a slight electoral college edge--particularly with recent polls showing him maintaining a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground. But much remains in flux. Usually when leaves start falling, so do the candidates' lists of target states. This year, the opposite is occurring, as both men are showing unusually strong appeal in states that have leaned toward the opposition. Bush is continuing to contest five states that Democrats have won in each of the last three elections: Washington, Oregon, Wisconsin, Iowa and West Virginia. On another front, the Gore decision to advertise in Tennessee came after a public opinion poll showed Bush narrowly leading there. And the most recent public opinion poll shows Bush narrowly leading in President Clinton's home state of Arkansas. Even in California, where polls continue to show Gore with a large lead, the RNC plans to begin airing ads at a cost of $1 million a week in the Los Angeles market later this week, party officials said Saturday. Yet at the same time, Gore recently added Nevada to his list of targets and continues to press Bush with repeated campaign visits--if not heavy advertising buys--in Florida, a must-win state for Bush. Although both sides claim their private polls give them a narrow lead in Florida, the GOP's anxiety about the state is measured in its heavy investment there--in the last two weeks, Bush and the RNC have outspent Gore and the Democratic National Committee by about 3 to 1 in Florida, according to the Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks ad buys for The Times. The most recent national polls also showed an extremely tight race. On Saturday, the daily MSNBC/Reuters tracking survey gave the vice president a 4 percentage point lead; a Newsweek poll released Saturday showed Gore 1 point ahead, the same margin he enjoyed in a Fox-Opinion Dynamics poll released Friday. Two other polls released Friday--one by CNN/Time, the other a daily tracking survey by the political Web site Voter.com--gave Bush a 2-point lead. The Texas governor held a larger lead in the wildly oscillating daily CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll. On Thursday, that survey had given Gore an 11-point advantage; Friday, it showed the two men virtually even; Saturday, it placed Bush 7 points ahead, his largest lead in months. Experts say such a severe swing may say more about polling technique than actual shifts in public opinion. Still, the movement in the national surveys late last week appeared clearly toward Bush, as Gore struggled with questions from both the media and Republicans about the accuracy of some comments he made during Tuesday's initial debate.