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To: chic_hearne who wrote (26078)10/9/2000 7:09:59 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 436258
 
interestingly, whenever Shaeffer has moved to a 'neutral' as opposed to a bullish bias, the market promptly rallied.

nevertheless, he's no dummy and his observations are correct in this case...complacency rules right now, since it has become such a deeply ingrained belief that 'the market always comes back'.

that belief needs to be shattered...then we may make a durable bottom.



To: chic_hearne who wrote (26078)10/9/2000 8:52:57 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
<So now that we've got those nasty earnings warnings out of the way, the "good guys" will begin reporting those solid earnings and the market will have no choice but to rally>

Ho ho... even a novice knows that one of the hallmarks of a bear market is one that goes down in the face of good news. I'm not predicting, just going to be very interested to see what happens with the stock prices of some companies that present good earnings.

DAK



To: chic_hearne who wrote (26078)10/9/2000 8:55:42 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
<5. To add insult to the injury in #4 above, option players in dead cats like Apple and Intel have been trading them heavily on the call side and have often bid call premiums higher than put premiums.>

I would like to reiterate that I believe he has the wrong take on the excessive call volume when a stock craps out... what I believe is happening is 'buywriters' unwinding their position... ie puking stock and covering their calls [which they MUST do once their stock is gone].

DAK