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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Neocon who wrote (44959)10/11/2000 12:16:46 PM
From: donjuan_demarco  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667
 
Re 1929 crash ---

I had a client years ago who retired at the age of 35 in the early 1930's due to his stock market gains.
He survived the crash, had some cash, and had a bash.



To: Neocon who wrote (44959)10/11/2000 12:23:59 PM
From: flatsville  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667
 
>>>As I understand it, the options will be mutual funds, both stocks and bonds, both no- load and managed. Thus, the "survivorship factor" would be mitigated by professional anticipation and/or diversification.<<<

There were unit investment trust under professional management in the 1920s...a sort of precursor to the modern day mutual fund...Professional management of these UITs didn't "mitigate" anything in 1929.

>>>Also, it is a reasonable assumption that stabilizing factors in equities trading in the United States have increased to such a degree that a speculative bubble of the magnitude of '29 would not occur.<<<

You may want to do some reading on stresses in the credit markets. Hard to see the bubble when you're inside of it.

>>>. Also, by the way, if one were to have invested just before, or even just as, the '29 run up occurred, it only took several years to get back on track.<<<

Try 1951, 1954...more than "several" years.

And the Japanese are still waiting.