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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bill who wrote (44967)	10/11/2000 12:30:06 PM
From: jlallen	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769670

From www.portraitofamerica.com ........ October 11, 2000 Presidential Tracking Poll As George W. Bush and Al Gore prepare for their second Presidential Debate, Bush maintains the lead he developed after the first debate. As of Wednesday morning, the Portrait of America Presidential Tracking Poll found Bush attracting 45% of the vote to Gore's 40%. The telephone survey of 2,250 likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Research on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday, October 8, 9, and 10 and has a margin of sampling error of 2 percentage points. A review of Portrait of America Tracking Poll data since Labor Day indicates that the race has not been nearly as volatile as some news stories suggest. Each week, we interview 4,500 Likely Voters. When we combine the results into a weekly average, we find that there was virtually no change from Labor Day until the first residential Debate. In the first week of September, Bush led Gore 43% to 41%. In week two, it was Bush 43% to 42%. The third week was 43% to 41% and heading up to the debate, Bush led 43% to 42%. Again, these numbers are based upon the weekly totals of 4,500 interviews. This data, combined with earlier tracking data, suggests that voters have been very consistent in their outlook throughout the campaign season. The only changes in the race have taken place around major events such as the McCain primary challenge, the conventions, and the first debate. This suggests that the remaining two Presidential Debates are Al Gore's best chance of turning things around. An analysis of why, barring a major debate gaffe, the election is Bush's to lose can be found by clicking HERE