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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: EJhonsa who wrote (33107)10/13/2000 1:02:40 PM
From: Eric L  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
Eric,

Re: PMCS - "Modified" LTB&H Strategy (Jubak Article)

<< my opinion on PMC-Sierra >>

I am most appreciative of your sharing that most informed opinion.

At least in a general sense, it confirms what I think I know about PMCS.

It totally agree with your comments on ATM ... "everyone's looking at 10-gigabit ethernet to be a major threat to fibre channel. However, it seems to me that the technology 10-gigabit ethernet will be most detrimental to is ATM"

For this reason the recent introduction of their S/UNI-2xGE (which will sample in November) and is purportedly the "Industry's First Dual Port Gigabit Ethernet Chip With POS-PHY Level 3 Interface" is potentially important:

newstream.com

PMCS seems well positioned in what is delivering to the indudtry now, and what will deliver in the future. I have not noticed many miscues.

Lehman Bros (A. Chanda) raised their earnings estimates on PMCS this morning and commented:

"We believe that PMC-Sierra is the franchise name in the communications IC space with a leadership position in core wireline semiconductors. The company has the highest gross margin in the communications IC market and in spite of its size is posting triple-digit growth rates consistently."

PMCS (and SNDK) are the only stocks I hold that are not a certifiable Gorilla, a King, or a strong potential Gorilla, so I hold it in small proportion to the rest of my portfolio (3.5% today), and I hold it lightly.

I have forgotten a lot of what I once thought I knew about ATM, SONET, Gigabit Ethernet, 10-Gigabit Ethernet, so holding PMCS gives me a chance to follow (once again) what is developing in comm IC's, and where (and when) 10-Gigabit Ethernet is headed.

In the interim, since I have started to follow PMCS (late 98), they seem to be just executing superbly, and if they can integrate their recent acquisitions successfully, should remain a player for the foreseeable future.

Jubak has a very interesting article this morning called "A Pain-Killing Strategy For Buy-And-Hold Investors" that might be of interest to readers of this thread:

moneycentral.msn.com

As it relates to PMCS (and some other stocks we discuss here), Jubak offers this:

"Even in the technology sector, stocks such as Cisco Systems (CSCO), Applied Materials (AMAT, Texas Instruments (TXN), Nokia (NOK), EMC Corp. (EMC)) and Oracle (ORCL) will recover. These stocks are likely to be great investments in the long run, and the last thing you want to do is sell them now."

<snip>

From the more aggressive Future Fantastic 50 portfolio, there are certainly good reasons to let the current 10 picks ride. America Online (AOL), Applied Materials, Charles Schwab (SCH), E*Trade Group (EGRP), Excite@Home (ATHM), JDS Uniphase (JDSU), Metromedia Fiber Network (MFNX), Nokia , RF Micro Devices (RFMD), and Yahoo! (YHOO) certainly haven’t gone up in price over the last month. But I think a few stocks from the portfolio are even better bargains right now and might only be fleetingly so. So I’m dropping Charles Schwab and At Home in favor of EMC and PMC-Sierra (PMCS).

Thanks again for your comments.

- Eric -



To: EJhonsa who wrote (33107)10/13/2000 7:27:06 PM
From: daily_vibe  Respond to of 54805
 
Eric Jhonsa made it to the Daily Vibe today!

A posting by Eric Jhonsa is being featured on the Daily Vibe today. Congratulations. To see the highlights, go to: marketvibe.com



To: EJhonsa who wrote (33107)10/17/2000 9:28:36 AM
From: a_dumb_blonde  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
My mama always told me to pay attention to groups that show increasing relative strength during weak market conditions.

On that theory, I offer this bit of evidence....
The Computer-Local Networks group has sprinted to No. 2 out of IBD's 197 industries based on six-months price gains. That's up from No. 172 just six weeks ago.

Perhaps the tape is confirming that the infrastructure build out is moving from the long haul portion to the MAN/LAN.

Andreas Bechtolsheim finally gets his day in the sun!

Me? I believe in the Stupid Network (stupid pipes...ala optics to GigE with a smart edge/IO ). Considering that Andreas B is vp of csco engineering and the Original gigE king, I'm looking to the Cisco content alliance players to see who will value add (via enabling technologies) to the edge of the network.

XXXX
blondie