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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kvkkc1 who wrote (40821)10/14/2000 12:04:35 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77398
 
Once she does start Up I expect her to put on 20 pts
in a short time span, ( 30 to 45days )
and I sure don't see 20 pts
more downside "not this year" so she is a low risk
bet. I think I will take a small bet on her and dollar
average it down if she falls any more.
-----------
Jim



To: kvkkc1 who wrote (40821)10/14/2000 12:07:00 PM
From: Ed Forrest  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77398
 
K
At 53.75 Mr.Softee, protracted litigation and all, still looks cheap to me.I may nibble a bit next week.

It is my considered opinion that if we don't buy tech now we may be missing a great opportunity for perhaps even as far out as 6 months.



To: kvkkc1 who wrote (40821)10/14/2000 1:59:52 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77398
 
One more thing, Indexing..For some time the indexers
(the weighting is relative,) and index funds have heavy
holdings in Csco Intc and Msft.., for some time the
relative weighting has had them buying more Csco, and
Intc than MSFT..with the recent pull back of Csco, and
Intc ( more than the recent pull back in msft ) the
relative weighting starts to change..as when those other
two fell it has the effect to cause a relative increase
in the weighting indexes will have to hold in MSFT.

While they don't adjust all that often the next adjustment
to weighting favors MSFT unless CSCO and INTC can
get back up to their highs before the adjustment comes.
-------------

You can bet Fidelity who took profits out of Msft early
this year is tracking the above, and will start to
move back in before the Index funds re-weight.
-------------

This "relative weighting" is only valid IF Csco and
INTC fail to get back to the percentage gains they
had over MSFT around Sept 4th.
Many other factors and stocks effect this, so
it's not a sure thing. MSFT has for some time
been losing her relative weight to the S&P and
NDX and there is a chance that could continue if she don't
start to rise fairly soon.
It's a mo mo market...( & index funds ) set a longer
term trend , if you want filter out daytrader noises
the relative move of stocks in the index over the
last 60 days almost dictates what the indexers will
be buying or reducing in when they adjust.
If a stock isn't in any major index ( one that's bought
and sold a lot ) then it's a maverick.

MSFT has 4 major indexes working on her.
and I have not updated my relative data on them since this
last down turn started.
The Csco. Intc thingy was just done by eyeball.
So don't make bets yet on this little half assed
analysis.
I will try to update them by Monday.
Jim