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To: JDN who wrote (36533)10/15/2000 8:20:05 PM
From: Steve Dietrich  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 64865
 
<According to various predicting agencies Social Security is going to go BUST eventually (dates differ dependent upon who is estimating).>

This really isn't true. Even according to SS estimates, it doesn't go bust, it just can't pay 100% of benefits starting around 2037. It doesn't go bust, just falls a bit short.

But SS assumes average gdp growth of 1.7% per year to make those ominous predictions.

If the CBO used such dire forecasts there would be no surplus, instead huge deficits. If the CBO numbers are close to the truth, SS never sees a shortfall.

So the idea of saving SS with the surplus is an impossiblilty and a lie perpetrated by both political parties, as is the idea of SS "going bust." (Only Ralph Nader has this one right.)

And finally if gdp does grow at 1.7% per year (as the SS trustees assume in predicting their shortfall) how could anyone possibly expect private investments to outperform SS returns with the economy experiencing such anemic growth?

How do you think the market will perform with 1.7% average gdp growth?

Steve Dietrich



To: JDN who wrote (36533)10/15/2000 9:24:21 PM
From: Charles Tutt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
 
Taking money OUT of SS isn't going to save it, just as extracting more money from the stock market isn't going to enhance its performance.

JMHO.

Charles Tutt (TM)