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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mtnlady who wrote (8139)10/16/2000 12:49:07 AM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 65232
 
To: marginmike who wrote (4992)
From: J.T.
Monday, October 16, 2000 12:34 AM ET
Reply # of 5002

mike, most of the technical damage is basically over and it is time to play long into early
December...

My target was NDX 2,750 intraday low before any hard bounce but with Thursdays
record high p/c ratio followed by Friday's hard bounce into still high p/c's... I find it hardly
convincing we are going to this 2,750 level... If we do buy it up on Q...We hit an intraday
level of NDX 2,990 Friday morning after Thursday low of NDX 3,000... This bottom
double test suggests the lows are in and buy any pullback...

One alternate scenario... we gap up tomorrow and run into resistance at NDX 3,420
(raised from 3,350) intraday high and then head back down to NDX 3,180 and then take
off...

INTC reports on Tuesday after the bell... I am confident they put out their profit warning
#'s low enough to hurdle over...1/3 the DOW indices report this week...

Buy your Q shares back you make the most when the pain to stay the course is the
greatest ... you know it well...

Best Regards, J.T.



To: mtnlady who wrote (8139)10/16/2000 2:38:36 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Naz will not get lower because Q4 is set to be strong
inventory levels are low, and will be replenished
labor is perking up, not falling off from a slowdown
and consumer spending has turned up

Naz wants badly to rally from these wicked oversold levels
I expect it to rally toward the shorterm moving averages
then it will probably come down
by then it might be clear that Q4 is to be sufficiently strong
until the MA's have flattened, a true bottom cannot be built
they aint flat now, but next time down they will be flatter

my main concern is past economic data spooking the market
like the Q3 GDP out in late October
that is where the incompetent chorus of economists will grab the limelight
if past is prologue, that is where they will be LOUD WRONG

Naz has twice now enjoyed an electric response from 3100 levels
once in May and now once in October
the more electric, the more difficult subsequently to break down
a very significant new catalyst would be required
like a new gulf threat, a collapse of Europe, civil unrest in the US, yet another Fed rate hike

just thoughts from a jackass in his undies scratching avidly
/ Jim