For all of you who think that Bush has this race wrapped up, read the following story. Especially note that Gore leads in many of the latest state polls, and Gore's performance tonight will not hurt his chances. Will Bush win the popular vote but lose the election? Could happen. Also, NBC's electoral college poll tonight had it 205 for Bush and 204 for Gore, with 270 needed to win.
Presidential Poll Results
By The Associated Press
Some new polls on the presidential race, both nationally and in states, highlighting just how close the race is. When results don't total 100 percent, the remainder either didn't know or refused to answer.
Suppose the election for president were being held today and you had to choose between Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats; George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke, the Green Party candidates; and Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster, the Reform Party candidates. For whom would you vote?
NATIONAL
CNN-USA Today-Gallup
-- Bush, 47 percent
-- Gore, 44 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Buchanan, percent
( signifies less than 1 percent)
Voter.com Battleground
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Gore, 40 percent
-- Nader, 4 percent
-- Buchanan, 2 percent
STATES
Missouri
(Research 2000)
-- Bush, 42 percent
-- Gore, 41 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Others, 2 percent
(The race here has been close since the conventions)
New Hampshire
(University of New Hampshire-WMUR)
-- Bush, 39 percent
-- Gore, 43 percent
-- Nader, 7 percent
-- Buchanan, 3 percent
(The race has closed up in recent weeks; Gore had been slightly ahead in September)
New Jersey
(Eagleton Poll)
-- Bush, 37 percent
-- Gore, 46 percent
-- Others, 5 percent
(Bush has closed the gap slightly since September)
Utah
(Deseret News)
-- Bush, 57 percent
-- Gore, 32 percent
-- Nader, 4 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
Tennessee
(University of Tennessee)
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Gore, 45 percent
-- Nader, 1 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
(The candidates are running even in Gore's home state)
(Florida, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Washington polls by American Research Group)
Florida
-- Gore, 47 percent
-- Bush, 45 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Others, 0 percent
(The candidates have been close for weeks in this crucial swing state)
Oregon
-- Gore, 44 percent
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Nader, 6 percent
-- Others, 1 percent
(State voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996)
Pennsylvania
-- Gore, 46 percent
-- Bush, 45 percent
-- Nader, 1 percent
-- Others, 1 percent
(Gore had been ahead in this state)
Washington
-- Gore, 45 percent
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Nader, 5 percent
-- Others, 1 percent
(State voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996)
Oregon
(Riley Research Associates)
--Bush, 41 percent
--Gore, 37 percent
--Nader 6 percent
The CNN-USA Today tracking poll of 756 likely voters was taken Oct. 13-15 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Voter.com Battleground tracking poll of 1,000 likely voters was taken Oct. 12-13 and Oct. 14-15 and has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The American Research Group polls for Florida, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Washington were taken Oct. 12-16 of 600 likely voters and have an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The New Hampshire poll of 680 likely voters was taken Oct. 5-13 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Eagleton poll of 500 registered voters in New Jersey was taken Oct. 12-15 and has an error margin of 5 percentage points.
The Missouri poll of 605 likely voters was taken Oct. 15-16 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Oregon poll by Riley Research Associates was taken Oct. 2-12 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Utah poll taken for the Deseret News of 914 registered voters was done Oct. 9-12 and has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The Tennessee poll of 472 registered voters was taken Sept. 18-28 and has an error margin of 5 percentage points. |
