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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donjuan_demarco who wrote (48234)	10/18/2000 8:31:13 AM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769670

POLL RELEASES October 18, 2000 Instant Reaction: Gore and Bush Tie in Third and Final Debate Viewers say Gore expressed himself better, but Bush was more likeable by David W. Moore GALLUP NEWS SERVICE PRINCETON, NJ -- The third and final presidential debate Tuesday evening between Al Gore and George W. Bush provided little reason for voters to change their minds, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted immediately after the event ended. Overall, 46% of registered voters who watched the debate said Gore did the better job, while 44% said Bush did. Separately, 77% of the viewers thought Gore did an excellent or good job, compared with 71% who thought that about Bush. These slight margins in favor of Gore came despite the fact that respondents in the poll had indicated in pre-debate polling that they favored Bush by a 9-point margin, 52% to 43%. Gore's supporters, however, rated him the winner by an 83-point margin, 88% to 5%, while Bush's supporters rated their candidate the winner by a smaller margin of 66 points, 76% to 10%. But whatever the ratings, the poll shows that few viewers were impressed enough by their candidate's opponent to consider changing their vote. Ninety-six percent of Gore's supporters said that, as a consequence of the debate, they either felt more certain (58%) of their support or had not been affected in their commitment (38%). Virtually the same proportions expressed that view among Bush supporters: 95% said they had either become more certain of their vote (58%) for Bush or had not been affected in their commitment (37%). As in Last Debate, Bush Seen as More Likeable, Gore Better Able to Express Himself The poll also showed that viewers said Bush was the more likeable candidate by a 60% to 31% margin, while at the same time crediting Gore with expressing himself more clearly, by a 57% to 33% margin. Unlike most of the other candidate ratings, these two do not closely mirror viewers' 9-point ballot lead for Bush, but instead elicit much cross-over support. Over a quarter of Bush's supporters (29%) acknowledge that Gore did a better job expressing himself, and a similar number of Gore's supporters (26%) acknowledge that Bush was the more likeable candidate. This pattern is similar to that found in the last debate, suggesting that voters have a durable image of the candidates. Viewers also said that Bush was more believable than Gore by a 52% to 41% margin, and that Bush agreed with them on the issues they cared about by 51% to 45%. These views closely mirror voters' presidential preferences, with Bush faring slightly better than his ballot lead on being believable, and slightly worse on the issues. The viewers saw hardly any difference between the two candidates on being more in touch with the average voter -- 47% said Bush was more in touch, while 45% gave that honor to Gore. Several times during the debate, Gore criticized Bush's proposals, eliciting objections from the Texas governor. The poll shows that -- similar to the last debate, when Gore also attacked Bush's proposals and record in Texas -- viewers seemed to react negatively to that tactic. Fifty-six percent said Gore was more unfair than Bush in criticizing his opponent, while 25% said that Bush was more unfair. After the second debate, viewers found Gore more unfair than Bush by a 41% to 26% margin. gallup.com

To: donjuan_demarco who wrote (48234)	10/18/2000 8:39:22 AM
From: ColtonGang	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769670

If you heard the debate, it wasn't close......one discussed issues and the other just kept saying "look at texas'........it's ridiculous how Bush can avoid details by claiming everything will be fine because "I get along with everyone."......the election is for US president not high school mascot!

To: donjuan_demarco who wrote (48234)	10/18/2000 8:43:02 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

Gore Battles Back Gore Ties with Tough Crowd, Wins Among Independents Analysis By Gary Langer Oct. 17 — Al Gore battled back to a tie with George W. Bush in the third presidential debate — a strong showing for the Democrat since it was another disproportionately Republican audience that tuned in. Indeed, for the first time, independents who watched gave Gore the win. Among all registered voters who watched the debate, 41 percent said Gore won and an identical 41 percent called Bush the winner — a much better showing for Gore than the second debate, when viewers picked Bush as the winner by a 16-point margin. Who Won? Gore Bush Tie 10/17/00 41% 41 14 10/11/00 30% 46 18 10/03/00 42% 39 13 Gore’s showing was particularly respectable given the nature of the audience. Viewers were a more pro-Bush group than likely voters at large, favoring Bush by a 13-point margin going into the debate. (Republicans tend to be better-educated and more engaged in politics, which makes them more likely debate watchers.) Independents are the key swing voter group, and among independents who watched, 47 percent picked Gore as the winner compared to 33 percent for Bush — Gore’s best showing by far among independents in any of the three debates. In the second debate, by contrast, independents picked Bush as the winner by an eight-point margin; in the first they picked Bush by five. Who Won? Among Independents Gore Bush Tie 10/17/00 47% 33 15 10/11/00 32% 40 21 10/03/00 35% 40 20 Base Running Gore also did a much better job this time satisfying his own supporters. Among Gore’s pre-debate supporters, 86 percent picked him as the winner; fewer of Bush’s supporters, 72 percent, said their guy won. That’s a turnaround from last week, when only 63 percent of Gore supporters picked him as the winner, while 76 percent of Bush’s supporters said he won. Gore improved by 23 points among his fans. Who Won? Among: Gore supporters Bush supporters Gore 86% 8 Bush 3% 72 Tie 10% 15 As noted, it was an even more pro-Bush audience than watched the second debate. Viewers this time favored Bush over Gore by 53 percent to 40 percent before the debate; that compares to a much closer 48-44 percent among likely voters nationally in an ABCNEWS/Washington Post poll completed Sunday. Again few minds were directly changed: Gore’s support among viewers went from 40 percent before the debate to 42 percent afterward; Bush’s was unchanged. Vote Preference Registered Voters Who Watched Gore Bush Nader Buchanan Before Debate 40% 53 3 1 After Debate 42% 53 2 1 Viewer Preferences A more pro-Bush audience has tuned in to each debate. Viewers of the first debate favored Bush by three points; viewers of the second debate favored him by 10; and viewers of the third debate favored him by 13 points. That’s not surprising given the nature of the candidates’ supporters. Among Republicans in the last ABCNEWS/Post poll, 41 percent said they were following the race “very closely,” while among Democrats just 28 percent were following it very closely. That level of attention is what leads more Republicans — and thus more Bush supporters — to tune in, especially to subsequent debates. Gender Gap The gender gap was back in this debate: More women picked Gore as the winner, more men picked Bush. That’s also better for Gore than the second debate, when women — a key group for him — divided about evenly on who won. Who Won? Gore Bush Tie 10/17 Debate Men 34% 46 17 Women 47% 35 12 10/11 Debate Men 24% 50 19 Women 37% 41 16 10/3 Debate Men 32% 45 18 Women 52% 33 9 Methodology This survey was conducted by telephone among a random-sample panel of 507 registered voters who watched Tuesday’s debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 12-15. The results have a 4.5-point error margin. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. abcnews.go.com

To: donjuan_demarco who wrote (48234)	10/18/2000 8:46:32 AM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769670

Gore Edges Bush In CBS News Poll Debate Watchers Give Nod To VP, 45-40 Percent Check out CBSNews.com's election interactive. Debate highlights CBS News Correspondent Bill Whitaker interviews George W. Bush. CBS News Correspondent Bill Plante interviews Al Gore. Sparks Fly In St. Louis Pablum Hits The Fan Accuracy Report Card Text Of The Third Bush-Gore Debate NEW YORK, Oct. 17, 2000 CBS (CBS) Voters watching the third and final presidential debate came away somewhat torn over who turned in the better performance, although more were impressed with Vice President Al Gore than with Texas Gov. George W. Bush, according to a CBS News poll. Forty-five percent said Gore did the better job in the debate Tuesday night, while 40 percent thought Bush was the winner. Another 15 percent said the debate was a draw. This was a reversal of attitudes following the second debate, when Bush bested Gore by a small margin. Bush did marginally better in the crucial battleground of the Midwest than he did nationally, although Gore still came out ahead there: 44 percent of Midwestern viewers said Gore won the debate, while 41 percent thought Bush was the victor. The three debates have had some impact on how voters feel about the candidates serving as president. And more voters have improved their opinions of Bush as president than have improved their opinions of Gore in that role. Thirty-six percent said they feel better now about the idea of Bush as president than they did before the debates, while 38 percent feel the same and 25 percent feel worse. Gore's debate performances have raised more doubt than Bush's: 34 percent of voters feel better about the idea of a Gore presidency, but 31 percent feel worse. At the same time, however, the debates appear to have done little to actually change voters' minds as much as they may have reinforced the choices voters had already made. Fifty-nine percent of voters said the debates have helped them make up their minds about whom to support, but only 14 percent said that the debates have changed their vote. This CBS News Poll was conducted by Knowledge Networks among a nationwide random sample of 617 registered voters, including 528 debate watchers. Knowledge Networks polled a sample of registered voters in its household panel, which is a nationally representative sample of households given access to the Internet via Web TV. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points for results based on the entire sample, and the sample of debate watchers. cbsnews.cbs.com

To: donjuan_demarco who wrote (48234)	10/18/2000 8:51:54 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

NBC Electoral Vote Projections: October 17, 2000 Total votes: 538 Votes needed to win: 270 Bush: 209 Gore: 208 Toss-up: 121 New Hampshire The Granite State went Democratic in 1992 and 1996, but turnout in the Feb. 1 Republican primary far exceeded Democratic turnout. Florida Seniors make up an estimated 40 percent of the electorate here, so the fight over a prescription drug benefit for Medicare could be important. Michigan After some tension over trade, the United Auto Workers union has fallen in behind Al Gore, but it’s still a tight race here. Arkansas Clinton’s native state might well tilt Republican this year. The state has a conservative Republican governor, Mike Huckabee. Missouri Missouri appears to be evenly balanced between the two parties. The state has voted for the winning presidential candidate in every presidential election since 1946 except for one, 1956. New Mexico Although the Clinton-Gore ticket carried this state by healthy margins in 1992 and 1996, it is more evenly balanced that those victories would imply. Oregon Since Mike Dukakis carried it in 1988, the state has become part of the Pacific Coast Democratic base. But some polling data suggest that Green Party candidate Ralph Nader could siphon support from Gore in this state. Washington Since Michael Dukakis carried the state in 1988, the Pacific Northwest has been Democratic turf in presidential elections. But this year polls show a close contest. Iowa Iowa has gone Democratic in the past three presidential elections, but it’s in play this year, and Bush and Gore are visiting frequently. Tennessee It may be Gore’s home state, but Bush has stumped here frequently, most recently on the way to the Oct. 11 debate. West Virginia This traditionally Democratic state is up for grabs this year. With rising energy prices, mine workers like what Bush is saying about burning more coal. The NBC Electoral Vote Map is based upon polls, prior voting behavior and political judgment. It displays what the expected outcome would be if the election were held today. Those states in which the outcome is currently in doubt are classified as toss-up states. The map is prepared by Tim Russert, Washington bureau chief and moderator of "Meet the Press" and Sheldon Gawiser, Director, Elections. msnbc.com