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To: Monty Lenard who wrote (41074)10/18/2000 7:42:13 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Well I flipped the DIA 97 to 100..and then ordered a small
position in the WDOWX for the closing NAV, it may go down
another 5% , or even 10% but I can ride taht.

Remember the program you sent me about adding to and taking
from the NDX fund ? Well I never understood it very much
but made up a spread sheet on several index funds, and
unless the market melts down more than it did in 87
a dollar cost averaging makes money in bad markets, just
as long as they don't do a 1929, if you have or can
get enough cash to average down 4 times. It don't get
you out at the top or in at the bottom, but it beats the
index over time, and when you are out you
get MM rates.
-------------
Not many people can beat the index over an extended time
period; & very few mutual funds do.
Riding a hot fund is OK but when the market corrects
often a shift happens and the hot fund of yesteryear
can become tomorrow's dog, most funds unless they are
index funds don't have a type of history for me to run my
spread sheet on.

As a rule of thumb; any time I would be in an index
then I can do a fund ( if it's beating the index at
that time, ) if it starts to under perform the index even
for a week it's time to get out.

I have a few stock positions but when I close them
that's it. I can play the index and beat it..& I can't
do that good picking stocks.

It just takes too much time to figure 2000 items
and time the market both.

I do watch the 12 Mo Mos but I don't even want to play
them , as funds managers do fight one another to get an
edge ; they make even those Mo Mo stocks dance all over one another, ( them I expect more than most ).
Jim