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To: Monty Lenard who wrote (14952)	10/18/2000 7:54:16 PM
From: Jim McMannis	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 275872

Monty, Don't forget that little gap between 10.68 and 10.90. <G> I apologize for not getting back to you sooner concerning your PM. I've just been taking some time to formula an answer. The answer I keep coming up with I don't like. The big picture is full of conflicting data. Seasonality is going to start to favor the market soon. OTOH, the economy is still cooking. I'll maintain that the bear will end when the economy has sufficiently slowed for the market to sniff out a rate cut. We will then know AG is on the side of the market. Right now Wall Street is paranoid about next year and uncertainty freaks them out. I expect a lot of volatility until then and the low probably will sneak itself in prior to when it's apparent that the FED is loosening. Jim