To: Mr. Whist who wrote (48897 ) 10/19/2000 1:43:01 AM From: Neocon Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667 October 17, 2000 Total votes: 538 Votes needed to win: 270 Bush: 209 Gore: 208 Toss-up: 121 New Hampshire The Granite State went Democratic in 1992 and 1996, but turnout in the Feb. 1 Republican primary far exceeded Democratic turnout. Florida Seniors make up an estimated 40 percent of the electorate here, so the fight over a prescription drug benefit for Medicare could be important. Michigan After some tension over trade, the United Auto Workers union has fallen in behind Al Gore, but it’s still a tight race here. Arkansas Clinton’s native state might well tilt Republican this year. The state has a conservative Republican governor, Mike Huckabee. Missouri Missouri appears to be evenly balanced between the two parties. The state has voted for the winning presidential candidate in every presidential election since 1946 except for one, 1956. New Mexico Although the Clinton-Gore ticket carried this state by healthy margins in 1992 and 1996, it is more evenly balanced that those victories would imply. Oregon Since Mike Dukakis carried it in 1988, the state has become part of the Pacific Coast Democratic base. But some polling data suggest that Green Party candidate Ralph Nader could siphon support from Gore in this state. Washington Since Michael Dukakis carried the state in 1988, the Pacific Northwest has been Democratic turf in presidential elections. But this year polls show a close contest. Iowa Iowa has gone Democratic in the past three presidential elections, but it’s in play this year, and Bush and Gore are visiting frequently. Tennessee It may be Gore’s home state, but Bush has stumped here frequently, most recently on the way to the Oct. 11 debate. West Virginia This traditionally Democratic state is up for grabs this year. With rising energy prices, mine workers like what Bush is saying about burning more coal. The NBC Electoral Vote Map is based upon polls, prior voting behavior and political judgment. It displays what the expected outcome would be if the election were held today. Those states in which the outcome is currently in doubt are classified as toss-up states. The map is prepared by Tim Russert, Washington bureau chief and moderator of "Meet the Press" and Sheldon Gawiser, Director, Elections. msnbc.com