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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: fuzzymath who wrote (3219)10/20/2000 12:26:05 AM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10042
 
Portrait of America contradicts a lot of other polls in key states. for instance they give Washington to Bush by 12 points where USA Today for instance has put Washington "safely" in Gore's column. Ditto Minnesota, NH, PA, Tenn and a few others. These are pretty safe for Gore. I find it incredible that Washington could be anything but dead-locked or leaning Gore. Rasmussen must be off there. And when they're wrong once it kind of makes you lose faith in everything elsre they say. For instance I am down on CNN Polls now. They showed Gore up 10 then Bush up 11 within a week of each other. Impossible that many people changed their mind. Rassmusen also uses computer voice automatced interviewers. Only Bush supporters are dumb enough to stay on the line for 20 minutes with a computer. (gg, sorry had to get that in)



To: fuzzymath who wrote (3219)10/20/2000 1:15:09 AM
From: Slugger  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10042
 
Kevin,

Nader may be a big problem for Gore here in California. Latest poll shows Gore 44%, Bush 40%. I have a theory that the polls in CA (maybe everywhere) are biased towards Dems by about 3-4%. I take the polls from the last week of the election and if the Republican is within 3% he/she will win. I have no data to back this, but have found it a reliable predictor of the outcome of elections here.