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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: American Spirit who wrote (3223)	10/20/2000 1:19:20 AM
From: Slugger	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10042

Gore: A Candidate In Trouble? By Howard Kurtz Washington Post Staff Writer Monday, October 16, 2000; 8:48 AM You know a candidate is in trouble when the Los Angeles Times is already mulling explanations for his possible defeat. You know a candidate is in trouble when USA Today is reporting on internal backbiting in his campaign. You know a candidate is in trouble when The Washington Post questions which version of the man will show up for tomorrow's debate, when the New York Times says his party is nervous, when Newsweek has his own advisers saying he couldn't win a popularity contest. Al Gore is in trouble, at least according to the media measurement of such matters with three weeks to go. (Yes, we know, George W. Bush was in trouble a couple of weeks back, but that was several story lines ago.) Here's part of Ron Brownstein's potential funeral notice in the L.A. Times "If Al Gore can't overcome George W. Bush's mid-October surge, the vice president's campaign aides already have a ready explanation for his defeat. It's two words: Bill Clinton. Through millions of dollars in polling, Gore's camp has concluded that many voters have a deep, impenetrable, almost irrational hatred of the president." Duh. "But the same polls that show most voters disliking Clinton personally also show that a solid majority of Americans like his policies. Clinton's job approval rating remains higher than Ronald Reagan's late in his presidency. In Los Angeles Times surveys all year, only a small minority of voters have expressed a desire for major changes from Clinton's policy direction. Even Bush lately has conspicuously praised Clinton. ... So here's a provocative thought: If Gore loses it may not be because he resembles Clinton too much, but too little."

To: American Spirit who wrote (3223)	10/20/2000 6:08:33 PM
From: fuzzymath	Respond to of 10042

Contradicting other polls is to be expected from the most accurate poll, right? But -- my consolidation of PortraitOfAmerica, Zogby, Gallup, and Battleground isn't moving much at all. Together, they say Bush is up by almost 5%, just like before Debate #3. By the way, Portrait's new poll of Washington state calls it a toss-up now. So, your Washington comments are validated even by POA. Rasmussen's (the Portrait pollster) analysis in recent weeks is that if Gore can retake Washington and Oregon, then Bush's lead (according to his polls) begins to vanish. fuzzymath