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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Slugger who wrote (3227)	10/20/2000 6:20:11 PM
From: fuzzymath	Respond to of 10042

The Wall Street Journal has been commenting that, win or lose, the Republican candidate has done substantially better in the general election than what the polls said on Labor Day weekend. This could be because more liberals answer the phone and stay on it when pollsters call. The WSJ people like to say it's because once people listen to what the candidates are saying, they find they prefer the Republican's plan more than the Democrat's. This is clearly the case this year. Gore "won" the debates by a landslide in getting his points across. As soon as more people understood what his actual plan is, he started slipping in the polls. And, reiterating his points so clearly once again in Debate #3 doesn't seem to have helped. The number of undecided voters is dropping day by day, with both Bush and Gore gaining. This is very bad for Gore -- because if the polls are correct, and Bush has a 5% lead, and only 7% remain undecided, and there are no more appearances before a nationwide audience -- well, the mathematics begin to appear grim. Of course, it's decided in the Electoral College -- but it would truly be a shock for a candidate to lose the popular vote by 5% and still win the Electoral College. There are so many toss-up states -- Gore would have to win a big majority of the toss-ups to win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by 5%. fuzzymath