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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (49656)	10/20/2000 9:28:46 AM
From: Zoltan!	Respond to of 769667

Today Bush increaseg his lead in the most accurate tracking poll with the largest sample: Presidential Tracking Poll On Friday morning, the Portrait of America Presidential Tracking Poll finds George W. Bush leading Al Gore by a 46% to 41% margin. The percentages are based on 3,000 interviews, conducted Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday nights. 2,000 of the interviews were conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, following Tuesday's Presidential debate.... portraitofamerica.com USAToday/CNN/Gallup has Bush now leading 49% to 39% for AlGore the Junior.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (49656)	10/20/2000 9:30:29 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

Interesting. My position is to look at the overall pictures from various polls. I am content to wait awhile and see if other polls tend to corroborate Zogby or Rasmussen (POA) today......

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (49656)	10/20/2000 9:35:21 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769667

Voter.com Battleground 2000 Poll: Bush 44, Gore 40 October 20, 2000 By Scott Galupo Voter.com News (Voter.com, Oct. 20) — Texas Gov. George W. Bush has opened up a four-point lead over Vice President Al Gore, according to the latest Voter.com Battleground 2000 poll. The results only partially reflect voter response to Tuesday night’s debate. According to the bipartisan tracking poll released Friday, 44 percent of those surveyed named Bush as their top choice among the leading four presidential candidates while 40 percent supported Gore. Green Party nominee Ralph Nader received support from 4 percent and Reform Party candidate Patrick Buchanan was supported by 1 percent. Eleven percent of respondents remain undecided. The poll’s margin of error is 3.1 percent. The survey is based on a rolling sample of 1,000 likely voters and is part of a series of tracking polls released each weekday between now and the Nov. 7 election. The bipartisan poll was conducted by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake, Snell, Perry, & Associates and Republican pollster Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group. Notable findings from the latest Battleground Poll include: In the most recent poll, Vice President Gore’s favorability ratings have dipped to 52 percent, while Bush’s favorability ratings have increased slightly (57 percent). The latest poll indicates that Bush has regained support among men, among whom the Texas governor’s support had eroded. Bush now has the support of 50 percent of men, compared with 35 percent for Gore. But the vice president continues to hold a narrow lead among women, with 44 percent of women saying they would vote for the vice president and 39 percent for Bush. Bush’s lead among married voters increased slightly, according to the most recent Battleground poll. Fifty percent of married voters say they will vote for the Texas governor, compared with 35 percent for Gore. Among single voters, Gore holds a 44 to 37 percent lead over Bush; yesterday’s poll, however, suggested a 46-33 percent lead for the vice president. Finally, survey respondents indicated a three-point edge for Democrats in the battle for control of Congress. On the “generic ballot” question, 43 percent of the respondents said they would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate, while 40 percent said they’d support the Republican candidate. voter.com

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (49656)	10/20/2000 9:38:14 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769667

I am afraid you were misinformed on Zogby, although it is certainly close: Bush Edges Gore Slightly In Reuters/ MSNBC Poll October 19, 2000 By Carol Giacomo WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican George W. Bush has shown some initial gain from the third presidential debate and edged up by one point over Democrat Al Gore, according to the Reuters/MSNBC daily tracking poll released on Thursday. Nineteen days before the election, the race now stands at 44 percent for the Texas governor and 43 percent for the vice president in the poll of 1,207 likely voters conducted on Monday through Wednesday by pollster John Zogby. The results remain well within the margin of error of plus or minus three points and Zogby called it a "dead heat.'' Green Party candidate Ralph Nader polled 5 percent, Reform Party hopeful Pat Buchanan scored 1 percent, and 7 percent of voters remained undecided. Polling included one day after the debate in St. Louis, where most analysts thought Gore put in a strong performance. Following the first two debates, Bush came from six percentage points behind and moved narrowly into the lead. Bush Wins Post-Debate Sample Zogby said, however, that in his poll, Bush won the one-day sample taken after the St. Louis debate, 48 percent to 45 percent. In general, "on the strength of Bush's gain among parents and married voters, he has narrowed the gender gap dramatically,'' Zogby said. Gore has widened his lead among 18-24 year-olds and earners in the $25,000-$50,000 bracket. Since 1972, no president has been elected without winning the support of this income group. But Bush now leads among Independent, suburban voters by 12 points and he leads among parents and married voters by 14 points. The two candidates continue to post comparable favorable and unfavorable ratings of 58 percent favorable and 39 percent unfavorable. Recent fluctuations in the stock market seemed to be having an impact on the race. When asked which of the major candidates would be best for the stock market, 35 percent of those polled said Bush and 33 percent said Gore. But when asked if market gyrations affected their decision in voting for president, 95 percent of those voting for Bush said yes, compared to 3.7 percent for Gore. Since the daily tracking poll began on Sept. 29, the race has never been outside the survey's statistical margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Forty-one percent of those polled said they had definitely ruled out voting for Gore while 40 percent said the same about Bush. The contest is shaping up to be the closest race for the presidency since 1960, when Democrat John F. Kennedy edged out Republican Richard Nixon. Gore continued to hold his lead in the East and expanded his lead in the South, while Bush led in the Midwest and the two were tied in the West. Fifteen percent said they were likely to change their vote before election day on Nov. 7. The tracking surveys are made up of a rolling daily sample of about 400 likely voters each day to create a three-day sample of about 1,200. Reuters and MSNBC will release a new poll every day until the election. In the equally tight race for control of the House of Representatives, Republicans now lead Democrats by only 2 points, again within the margin of error. voter.com